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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAppendix H2 - Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT Enclave) translutions, inc. 17632 Irvine Boulevard, Suite 200 Tustin, California 92780 (949) 656 3131 solutions@translutions.com 5/19/2025 (P:\Lewis - The Enclave at North Fontana\VMT\VMT Memo_Enclave.docx) 1 the transportation solutions com pany... May 19, 2025 Stacey Sassaman, Vice President - Planned Communities Lewis Management Corp. 1156 N. Mountain Avenue Upland, California 91786 Subject: The Enclave at North Fontana – VMT Analysis Dear Stacey, Translutions, Inc. (Translutions) is pleased to provide this letter discussing the Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) analysis for the Enclave at North Fontana residential project in the City of Fontana. The project proposes the construction of 84 multi-family dwelling units and 69 single-family dwelling units. The project opening year is anticipated to be 2026. Access to The Enclave at North Fontana will be provided via new roadways that connect on Curtis Avenue. VMT IMPACT THRESHOLDS The City of Fontana has adopted guidelines to help ensure that land use development and transportation projects comply with the latest requirements of the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) regarding Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT). The guidelines provide the City with standardized criteria and established thresholds of significance to be used for analyzing transportation impacts for CEQA. Based on the City Guidelines, a project would result in a significant “project generated” VMT impact if either of the following conditions are satisfied: 1. The baseline project generated VMT per service population exceeds 15% below the baseline County of San Bernardino VMT per service population, or 2. The cumulative project generated VMT per service population exceeds 15% below the baseline County of San Bernardino VMT per service population. The project’s effect on VMT would be considered significant if it resulted in either of the following conditions to be satisfied: 1. The baseline link-level boundary VMT per service population (City boundary) to increase under the plus project condition compared to the no project condition), or 2. The cumulative link-level boundary VMT per service population (City boundary) to increase under the plus project condition compared to the no project condition). MODELING METHODOLOGY The analysis methodology for the project generated VMT and project effect of VMT were developed consistently with the City VMT guidelines. The analysis was conducted using the San Bernardino Transportation Analysis Model Plus Model (SBTAM+). Socio-Economic Data. The number of dwelling units was taken from the project description. The population was based on the model and included approximately 3.53 residents per household for single-family and 3.31 residents per household for multifamily. Other Edits. No network edits were made for the project beyond aggregating zones to represent the project. Model Runs. Each model was run for 5 loops, and the convergence criteria were set at 0.01. Final assignment runs were completed. MODEL OUTPUTS The analysis methodology for the project generated VMT and project effect of VMT were developed consistently with the City VMT guidelines. The model outputs were checked for reasonableness by comparing the trip generation of the modified zones and adjacent zones. The results were found to be consistent. VMT data was extracted using the time-of-day Origin-Destination (OD) matrices multiplied by the time-of-day skims. Per standard modeling practice, the data reported is daily weekday VMT. Memorandum: The Enclave VMT Analysis 5/19/2025 (P:\Lewis - The Enclave at North Fontana\VMT\VMT Memo_Enclave.docx) 2 th e t r a n s p o r t a t i o n s o l u t i o n s c o m p a n y . . . Table A shows the model outputs and calculations for the project generated VMT, and Table B shows the outputs for project effect on VMT. Table A: Project Generated VMT Project Base Year Project Future Year San Bernardino County Base Year Households 153 153 656,358 Population 522 522 2,222,146 Employment 0 0 859,874 Service Population 522 522 3,082,020 OD VMT 15,487 12,392 120,663,822 OD VMT per Service Population 29.7 23.7 39.2 Threshold/Impact No No 33.3 Table B - Project Effect on VMT Base Year Future Year With Project Without Project With Project Without Project Roadway VMT 3,762,291 3,758,513 4,911,113 4,913,248 Service Population 283,693 283,171 325,719 325,197 VMT per Service Population 13.3 13.3 15.1 15.1 VMT EVALUATION Base Year Project Generated VMT. As seen on Table A, based on the SBTAM+ run, the base model year VMT for the County is 39.2 VMT/SP, which results in a threshold of 33.3 VMT/SP. As seen on Table A, the project generated VMT for the proposed project is 29.7 VMT/SP which shows that the project will have a less than significant impact on VMT. Base Year Project Effect on VMT. As seen on Table B, the Citywide segment level VMT under no project conditions is 13.3 VMT/SP. The Citywide segment VMT under the proposed project is also 13.3 VMT/SP. Therefore, the proposed project does not increase the VMT/SP, and therefore, has a less than significant impact. Future Year Project Generated VMT. The future year VMT threshold for the City is based on the base year threshold of 39.2 VMT/SP. As seen on Table A, the project generated VMT for the proposed project is 23.7 VMT/SP which shows that the project will have a less than significant impact on VMT. Future Year Project Effect on VMT. As seen on Table B, the Citywide segment level VMT under no project conditions is 15.1 VMT/SP. The Citywide segment VMT under the proposed project is also 15.1 VMT/SP. Therefore, the proposed project does not increase the VMT/SP, and therefore, has a less than significant impact. CONCLUSION As seen above, the project generated VMT under both base and future year are less than the threshold of 33.3 VMT/SP. The project effect on VMT is also lower than the threshold under both base and future year conditions, which means that the project will not result in any increase in overall VMT/SP for the City as well as VMT on the City roadways. Based on the adopted guidelines, the VMT impacts of the proposed project are anticipated to be less than significant. We hope you will find this information helpful. Should you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to call me at (949) 656-3131 or by email at sandipan@translutions.com. Sincerely, translutions, Inc. Sandipan Bhattacharjee, P.E., T.E., AICP, ENV SP Principal