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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAppendix N - Traffic Analysis SOUTHRIDGE FONTANA (PAM21-0081) TRAFFIC ANALYSIS Reference Number Agency Date February 28, 2023 City of Fontana 14713-03A TA Report PREPARED BY: Charlene So | cso@urbanxroads.com Aric Evatt | aevatt@urbanxroads.com Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents ............................................................................................................................................... ii Appendices ......................................................................................................................................................... iv List of Exhibits ..................................................................................................................................................... v List of Tables ...................................................................................................................................................... vi List of Abbreviated Terms ............................................................................................................................... vii 1 Introduction............................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Summary of Findings ............................................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Project Overview ....................................................................................................................................................... 3 1.3 Analysis Scenarios ..................................................................................................................................................... 5 1.4 Study Area .................................................................................................................................................................... 5 1.5 Deficiencies .................................................................................................................................................................. 7 1.6 Recommendations .................................................................................................................................................... 8 1.7 Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Analysis .......................................................................................................... 10 2 Methodologies ........................................................................................................................................ 11 2.1 Level of Service ........................................................................................................................................................ 11 2.2 Intersection Capacity Analysis ........................................................................................................................... 11 2.3 Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Methodology ............................................................................................ 13 2.4 Minimum Acceptable Levels of Service (LOS) ............................................................................................ 14 2.5 Deficiency Criteria .................................................................................................................................................. 14 2.6 Project Fair Share Calculation Methodology .............................................................................................. 15 3 Area Conditions ...................................................................................................................................... 17 3.1 Existing Circulation Network ............................................................................................................................. 17 3.2 General Plan Circulation Elements .................................................................................................................. 17 3.3 Bicycle & Pedestrian Facilities ............................................................................................................................ 20 3.4 Transit Service .......................................................................................................................................................... 20 3.5 Existing Traffic Counts .......................................................................................................................................... 20 3.6 Existing (2022) Intersection Operations Analysis ..................................................................................... 25 3.7 Existing (2022) Traffic Signal Warrants Analysis ....................................................................................... 25 4 Projected Future Traffic ......................................................................................................................... 27 4.1 Project Trip Generation ....................................................................................................................................... 27 4.2 Project Trip Distribution ...................................................................................................................................... 27 4.3 Modal Split ................................................................................................................................................................. 29 4.4 Project Trip Assignment ....................................................................................................................................... 29 4.5 Background Traffic ................................................................................................................................................. 29 4.6 Cumulative Development Traffic ..................................................................................................................... 29 4.7 Near-Term Traffic Conditions ........................................................................................................................... 34 5 EAP (2027) Traffic Conditions ................................................................................................................ 35 5.1 Roadway Improvements ..................................................................................................................................... 35 5.2 EAP (2027) Project Traffic Volume Forecasts ............................................................................................ 35 Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report iii 5.3 Intersection Operations Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 35 5.4 Traffic Signal Warrants Analysis ....................................................................................................................... 37 6 Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Traffic Conditions .......................................................................... 39 6.1 Roadway Improvements ..................................................................................................................................... 39 6.2 Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project Traffic Volume Forecasts ............................. 39 6.3 Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project Traffic Volume Forecasts .................................... 39 6.4 Intersection Operations Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 42 6.5 Traffic Signal Warrants Analysis ....................................................................................................................... 42 6.6 Deficiencies and Improvements ....................................................................................................................... 43 7 Local and Regional Funding Mechanisms ........................................................................................... 45 7.1 Measure “I” Funds ................................................................................................................................................... 45 7.2 City of Fontana Development Impact Fee (DIF) ........................................................................................ 45 8 Vehicle Miles Traveled ........................................................................................................................... 47 8.1 Project Screening .................................................................................................................................................... 47 8.2 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................................. 50 9 References ............................................................................................................................................... 51 Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report iv APPENDICES Appendix 1.1: Approved Traffic Study Scoping Agreement Appendix 1.2: Site Adjacent Queuing Worksheets Appendix 3.1: Existing Traffic Counts Appendix 3.2: Existing (2022) Conditions Intersection Operations Analysis Worksheets Appendix 3.3: Existing (2022) Conditions Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Worksheets Appendix 5.1: EAP (2027) Conditions Intersection Operations Analysis Worksheets Appendix 5.2: EAP (2027) Conditions Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Worksheets Appendix 6.1: Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project Conditions Intersection Operations Analysis Worksheets Appendix 6.2: Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project Conditions Intersection Operations Analysis Worksheets Appendix 6.3: Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project Conditions Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Worksheets Appendix 6.4: Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project Conditions Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Worksheets Appendix 8.1: SBCTA VMT Screening Tool Appendix 8.2: Southridge Village specific Plan Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report v LIST OF EXHIBITS Exhibit 1-1: Location Map .................................................................................................................................. 2 Exhibit 1-2: Preliminary Site Plan ..................................................................................................................... 4 Exhibit 1-3: Study Area ....................................................................................................................................... 6 Exhibit 1-4: Site Access Recommendations ................................................................................................... 9 Exhibit 3-1: Existing Number of Through Lanes and Intersection Controls ............................................. 18 Exhibit 3-3: City of Fontana Bicycle Facilities ................................................................................................ 21 Exhibit 3-4: Existing Pedestrian Facilities ...................................................................................................... 22 Exhibit 3-5: Existing Transit Routes ................................................................................................................ 23 Exhibit 3-6: Existing (2022) Traffic Volumes .................................................................................................. 24 Exhibit 4-1: Project Trip Distribution .............................................................................................................. 28 Exhibit 4-2: Project Only Traffic volumes ...................................................................................................... 30 Exhibit 4-3: Cumulative Development Location Map .................................................................................. 31 Exhibit 4-4: Cumulative Only Traffic Volumes .............................................................................................. 32 Exhibit 5-1: EAP Traffic Volumes ..................................................................................................................... 36 Exhibit 6-1: Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project Traffic Volumes ...................................... 40 Exhibit 6-2: Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project Traffic Volumes ............................................ 41 Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report vi LIST OF TABLES Table 1-1: Intersection Analysis Locations ...................................................................................................... 7 Table 1-2: Summary of LOS ............................................................................................................................... 8 Table 2-1: Signalized Intersection LOS Thresholds ...................................................................................... 12 Table 2-2: Unsignalized Intersection LOS Thresholds ................................................................................. 13 Table 2-3: Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis Locations ................................................................................... 14 Table 2-4: Thresholds of Significant Impact .................................................................................................. 15 Table 3-1: Intersection Analysis for Existing (2022) Conditions ................................................................. 25 Table 4-1: Project Trip Generation Summary ............................................................................................... 27 Table 4-2: Cumulative Development land use Summary ............................................................................ 33 Table 5-1: Intersection Analysis for EAP (2027) Conditions ........................................................................ 35 Table 6-1: Intersection Analysis for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Conditions .................................. 42 Table 8-1: SVSP Capacities at buildout .......................................................................................................... 49 Table 8-2: Trip generation comparison ......................................................................................................... 50 Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report vii LIST OF ABBREVIATED TERMS (1) Reference ADT Average Daily Traffic CA MUTCD California Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices Caltrans California Department of Transportation CEQA California Environmental Quality Act CMP Congestion Management Program DIF Development Impact Fee EAP Existing Ambient Growth plus Project HCM Highway Capacity Manual ITE Institute of Transportation Engineers LOS Level of Service NCHRP National Cooperative Highway Research Program OD Origination-Destination OPR Office of Planning and Research OYC Opening Year Cumulative PHF Peak Hour Factor Project Southridge Fontana SB 743 Senate Bill 743 SBTAM San Bernardino Transportation Analysis Model SHS State Highway System TA Traffic Analysis TAZ Traffic Analysis Zone TPA Transit Priority Area V/C Volume to Capacity VMT Vehicle Miles Traveled Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report viii This page intentionally left blank. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 1 1 INTRODUCTION This report presents the results of the Traffic Analysis (TA) for the proposed Southridge Fontana development (“Project”), which is located south of Village Drive and east of Live Oak Avenue in the City of Fontana, as shown on Exhibit 1-1. Exhibit 1-1 depicts the location of the proposed Project in relation to the existing roadway network and the study area intersections. The purpose of this TA is to evaluate the potential deficiencies related to traffic, identify circulation system deficiencies that may result from the development of the proposed Project, and to recommend improvements to resolve identified deficiencies in order to achieve acceptable operational conditions at study area intersections and ensure consistency with the City’s General Plan. This TA has been prepared in accordance with the City of Fontana’s Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and Level of Service Assessment (October 21, 2020) and through consultation with City of Fontana staff during the scoping process. (1) The Project traffic study scoping agreement is provided in Appendix 1.1 of this TA, which has been reviewed and approved by City of Fontana staff. 1.1 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 1.1.1 VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED Changes to California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines were adopted in December 2018, which require all lead agencies to adopt VMT as a replacement for automobile delay-based level of service (LOS) as the measure for identifying transportation impacts for land use projects. This statewide mandate went into effect July 1, 2020. To aid in this transition, the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (OPR) released a Technical Advisory on Evaluating Transportation Impacts in CEQA (December of 2018) (Technical Advisory) (2). Based on OPR’s Technical Advisory, specific procedures for complying with the new CEQA requirements for VMT analysis, the City of Fontana adopted Traffic Impact Analysis Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled and Level of Service Assessment (City Guidelines) (1). The City Guidelines documents the City’s VMT analysis methodology and adopted VMT impact thresholds. The VMT screening evaluation presented in this report has been developed based on these City Guidelines. The Project was evaluated consistent with the City’s available screening criteria. The Project was found to meet the Project Net Daily Trips Less than 500 ADT screening criteria and is presumed to result in a less than significant impact for VMT; no further VMT analysis required. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 2 EXHIBIT 1-1: LOCATION MAP Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 3 1.1.2 LEVEL OF SERVICE (LOS) ANALYSIS The Project is to construct the following improvements as design features in conjunction with development of the site: • Project to construct a westbound left turn lane on Live Oak Avenue by restriping the two-way left turn painted median (Project Driveway 1). Driveway 1 should be realigned with the existing shopping center driveway to the north, creating a 4-leg intersection. • Project to construct a westbound shared left-though-right lane and install a stop control on the westbound approach (egress Project traffic) and implement a cross-street stop-controlled intersection. Project to construct a southbound left turn lane on Live Oak Avenue by restriping the two-way left turn painted median (Project Driveway 2). Additional details and intersection lane geometrics are provided in Section 1.6 Recommendations of this report. The proposed Project is not anticipated to require the construction of any off-site improvements, however, there are improvement needs identified at off-site intersections for future cumulative traffic study scenarios. As such, the Project Applicant’s responsibility for the Project’s contributions towards deficient off-site intersections is fulfilled through payment of fair share and/or payment into pre-existing fee programs (if applicable) that would be assigned to the future construction of the identified recommended improvements. The Project Applicant would be required to pay requisite fees and/or fair share contributions consistent with the City’s requirements (see Section 7 Local and Regional Funding Mechanisms). 1.2 PROJECT OVERVIEW The proposed Project is to consist of 255 single family attached residential dwelling units. It is anticipated to have an Opening Year of 2027. The proposed preliminary site plan for the proposed Project is shown on Exhibit 1-2. As indicated on Exhibit 1-2, access to the Project site will be provided to Live Oak Avenue via two driveways. Regional access to the Project site is available from the I-10 Freeway via Cherry Avenue to the north, the I-15 Freeway via Jurupa Avenue to the west, and SR-60 Freeway via Mulberry Avenue to the south. In order to develop the traffic characteristics of the proposed project, trip-generation statistics published in the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (11th Edition, 2021) for the Single-Family Attached (ITE Land Use Code 215) land use category. (3) The Project is anticipated to generate a total of 1,836 two-way trips per day with 122 AM peak hour trips and 145 PM peak hour trips. The assumptions and methods used to estimate the Project’s trip generation characteristics are discussed in greater detail in Section 4.1 Project Trip Generation of this report. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 4 EXHIBIT 1-2: PRELIMINARY SITE PLAN Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 5 1.3 ANALYSIS SCENARIOS For the purposes of this traffic study, potential deficiencies to traffic and circulation have been assessed for each of the following conditions: • Existing (2022) Conditions • Existing plus Ambient Growth plus Project (EAP) • Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project • Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project 1.3.1 EXISTING (2022) CONDITIONS Information for Existing (2022) traffic conditions is disclosed to represent the baseline traffic conditions as they existed at the time this report was prepared. 1.3.2 EAP CONDITIONS The Existing plus Ambient Growth plus Project (EAP) traffic conditions analysis determines traffic deficiencies that would occur on the existing roadway system with the addition of Project traffic. To account for background traffic growth, an ambient growth factor from Existing conditions of 10.41% is included for EAP (2027) traffic conditions (2 percent per year compounded annually over 5 years). The ambient growth is consistent with the growth used by other projects in the area within the City of Fontana. 1.3.3 OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) CONDITIONS The Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions analysis determines the potential near-term cumulative circulation system deficiencies. To account for background traffic growth, traffic associated with other known cumulative development projects in conjunction with an ambient growth from Existing (2022) traffic conditions of 10.41% is included for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions (2 percent per year compounded annually over 5 years). This analysis scenario includes a list of other cumulative development projects which was compiled from information provided by the City of Fontana and is consistent with other recent studies in the study area. 1.4 STUDY AREA The 5 study area intersections listed in Table 1-1 and shown on Exhibit 1-3 were selected for evaluation in this TA based on consultation with City of Fontana staff. The study area includes intersections where the Project is anticipated to contribute 50 or more peak hour trips per the City of Fontana’s traffic study guidelines. (1) The “50 peak hour trip” criteria represent a minimum number of trips at which a typical intersection would have the potential to be substantively affected by a given development proposal. The 50 peak hour trip criterion is a traffic engineering rule of thumb that is accepted and widely used within San Bernardino County for estimating a potential area of influence (i.e., study area). Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 6 EXHIBIT 1-3: STUDY AREA Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 7 The intent of a CMP is to more directly link land use, transportation, and air quality, thereby prompting reasonable growth management programs that will effectively utilize new transportation funds, alleviate traffic congestion and related deficiencies, and improve air quality. Counties within California have developed CMPs with varying methods and strategies to meet the intent of the CMP legislation. TABLE 1-1: INTERSECTION ANALYSIS LOCATIONS 1.5 DEFICIENCIES This section provides a summary of deficiencies by analysis scenario. Section 2 Methodologies provides information on the methodologies used in the analysis and Section 5 EAP (2027) Traffic Conditions and Section 6 Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Traffic Conditions. A summary of LOS results for all analysis scenarios is presented on Table 1-2. 1.5.1 EXISTING (2022) CONDITIONS All of the study area intersections are currently operating at an acceptable LOS during the weekday AM and PM peak hours. 1.5.2 EAP CONDITIONS All of the study area intersections are anticipated to continue to operate at an acceptable LOS during the peak hours under EAP traffic conditions with the addition of Project traffic, consistent with Existing conditions. 1.5.3 OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2023) CONDITIONS The study area intersections are anticipated to continue operate at an acceptable LOS under Opening Year Cumulative (2023) Without Project traffic conditions, with the exception of the following intersection: • Live Oak Avenue & Jurupa Avenue (#5) – LOS D PM peak hour only The addition of Project traffic is not anticipated to result in any additional intersection operational deficiencies in comparison to the location previously identified for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project traffic conditions. Although the intersection of Live Oak Avenue at Jurupa Avenue is anticipated to operate at a deficient LOS during the PM peak hour for both Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without and With Project traffic conditions, the addition of Project traffic would increase the PM peak hour delay by less than 5.0 seconds (City’s threshold criteria for LOS D). As such, improvements have not been identified at the intersection of Live Oak Avenue and Jurupa Avenue. ID Intersection Location Jurisdiction 1 Cherry Av. & Jurupa Av.Fontana 2 Cherry Av. & Live Oak AV.Fontana 3 Driveway 1/Southridge Park & Live Oak Av.Fontana 4 Live Oak Av. & Goldenrain Dr./Driveway 2 Fontana 5 Live Oak Av. & Jurupa Av.Fontana Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 8 TABLE 1-2: SUMMARY OF LOS 1.6 RECOMMENDATIONS 1.6.1 SITE ADJACENT AND SITE ACCESS RECOMMENDATIONS The following recommendations are based on the minimum improvements needed to accommodate site access and maintain acceptable peak hour operations for the proposed Project. The site adjacent recommendations are shown on Exhibit 1-4. The site adjacent queuing analysis worksheets are provided in Appendix 1.2. No site adjacent queues are anticipated with the proposed improvements Recommendation 1 – Southridge Park/Driveway 1 & Live Oak Avenue (#3) – The following improvements are necessary to accommodate site access: • Project to construct a westbound left turn lane on Live Oak Avenue by restriping the two-way left turn painted median (Project Driveway 1). • Project to realign the driveway with the existing shopping center driveway on the north side of Live Oak Avenue in order to create a 4-leg intersection. Recommendation 2 – Live Oak Avenue & Driveway 2 (#4) – The following improvements are necessary to accommodate site access: • Project to install a stop control on the westbound approach (egress Project traffic) and implement a cross-street stop-controlled intersection (Project Driveway 2). • Project to construct a westbound shared left-right turn lane (Project Driveway 2). • Project to construct a southbound left turn lane on Live Oak Avenue by restriping the two-way left turn painted median. Recommendation 3 – The site adjacent roadway of Live Oak Avenue is currently constructed to its ultimate cross-section General Plan and City of Fontana guidelines. In addition, sidewalk, curb-and- gutter, and landscaping improvements are in place along all Project fronting roadway. However, the Project will modify the curb and gutter improvements to accommodate site access points (driveways). Existing sidewalks and crosswalks connect the proposed Project with the surrounding pedestrian facilities. On-site traffic signing and striping should be implemented agreeable with the provisions of the California Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (CA MUTCD) and in conjunction with detailed construction plans for the Project site. #Intersection AM PM AM PM AM PM AM PM 1 Cherry Av. & Jurupa Av. 2 Cherry Av. & Live Oak AV. 3 Driveway 1/Southridge Park & Live Oak Av. 4 Live Oak Av. & Goldenrain Dr./Driveway 2 5 Live Oak Av. & Jurupa Av. = A - C = D - E = F Existing (2022)EAP (2027)OYC (2027) - NP OYC (2027) - WP Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 9 EXHIBIT 1-4: SITE ACCESS RECOMMENDATIONS Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 10 1.6.2 QUEUING ANALYSIS A queuing analysis has been performed for the Project driveways and the site adjacent intersection of Cherry Avenue and Live Oak Avenue for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project traffic conditions. The traffic modeling and signal timing optimization software package SimTraffic has been utilized to assess the queues. SimTraffic is designed to model networks of signalized and unsignalized intersections, with the primary purpose of checking and fine-tuning signal operations. SimTraffic uses the input parameters from Synchro to generate random simulations. These random simulations generated by SimTraffic have been utilized to determine the 95th percentile queue lengths observed for each applicable turn lane. A SimTraffic simulation has been recorded up to 5 times, during the weekday AM and weekday PM peak hours, and has been seeded for 30-minute periods with 60-minute recording intervals. Queuing analysis worksheets for the weekday AM and PM peak hours are provided in Appendix 1.2 of this report. 1.6.3 OFF-SITE RECOMMENDATIONS All of the study intersections are anticipated to operate at an acceptable LOS during the peak hours under Existing (2022), EAP, and Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions are shown in Table 1-2. Thus, no recommended improvements are provided. 1.7 VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED (VMT) ANALYSIS The Project was evaluated consistent with the City’s available screening criteria. The Project was found to meet the Project Net Daily Trips Less than 500 ADT screening criteria and is presumed to result in a less than significant impact for VMT; no further VMT analysis required. Detailed discussion can be found in Section 8 Vehicle Miles Traveled Analysis of this TA. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 11 2 METHODOLOGIES This section of the report presents the methodologies used to perform the traffic analyses summarized in this report. The methodologies described are generally consistent with the City of Fontana’s traffic study guidelines. (1) 2.1 LEVEL OF SERVICE Traffic operations of roadway facilities are described using the term "Level of Service" (LOS). LOS is a qualitative description of traffic flow based on several factors, such as speed, travel time, delay, and freedom to maneuver. Six levels are typically defined ranging from LOS A, representing completely free-flow conditions, to LOS F, representing breakdown in flow resulting in stop-and-go conditions. LOS E represents operations at or near capacity, an unstable level where vehicles are operating with the minimum spacing for maintaining uniform flow. 2.2 INTERSECTION CAPACITY ANALYSIS The definitions of LOS for interrupted traffic flow (flow restrained by the existence of traffic signals and other traffic control devices) differ slightly depending on the type of traffic control. The LOS is typically dependent on the quality of traffic flow at the intersections along a roadway. The 6th Edition Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) methodology expresses the LOS at an intersection in terms of delay time for the various intersection approaches. (4) The HCM uses different procedures depending on the type of intersection control. 2.2.1 SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS The City of Fontana requires signalized intersection operations analysis based on the methodology described in the HCM. (4) Intersection LOS operations are based on an intersection’s average control delay. Control delay includes initial deceleration delay, queue move-up time, stopped delay, and final acceleration delay. For signalized intersections LOS is related to the average control delay per vehicle and is correlated to a LOS designation as described on Table 2-1. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 12 TABLE 2-1: SIGNALIZED INTERSECTION LOS THRESHOLDS The traffic modeling and signal timing optimization software package Synchro (Version 11) has been utilized to analyze signalized intersections. Synchro is a macroscopic traffic software program that is based on the signalized intersection capacity analysis as specified in the HCM. Macroscopic level models represent traffic in terms of aggregate measures for each movement at the study intersections. Equations are used to determine measures of effectiveness such as delay and queue length. The level of service and capacity analysis performed by Synchro takes into consideration optimization and coordination of signalized intersections within a network. A saturation flow rate of 1900 has been utilized for all study area intersections located within the City of Fontana. The peak hour traffic volumes have been adjusted using a peak hour factor (PHF) to reflect peak 15-minute volumes. Customary practice for LOS analysis is to use a peak 15-minute rate of flow. However, flow rates are typically expressed in vehicles per hour. The PHF is the relationship between the peak 15-minute flow rate and the full hourly volume (e.g., PHF = [Hourly Volume] / [4 x Peak 15- minute Flow Rate]). The use of a 15-minute PHF produces a more detailed analysis as compared to analyzing vehicles per hour. Existing PHFs have been used for all analysis scenarios. Per the HCM, PHF values over 0.95 often are indicative of high traffic volumes with capacity constraints on peak hour flows while lower PHF values are indicative of greater variability of flow during the peak hour. (4) Description Average Control Delay (Seconds), V/C ≤ 1.0 Level of Service, V/C ≤ 1.01 Operations with very low delay occurring with favorable progression and/or short cycle length.0 to 10.00 A Operations with low delay occurring with good progression and/or short cycle lengths.10.01 to 20.00 B Operations with average delays resulting from fair progression and/or longer cycle lengths. Individual cycle failures begin to appear. 20.01 to 35.00 C Operations with longer delays due to a combination of unfavorable progression, long cycle lengths, or high V/C ratios. Many vehicles stop and individual cycle failures are noticeable. 35.01 to 55.00 D Operations with high delay values indicating poor progression, long cycle lengths, and high V/C ratios. Individual cycle failures are frequent occurrences. This is considered to be the limit of acceptable delay. 55.01 to 80.00 E Operation with delays unacceptable to most drivers occurring due to over saturation, poor progression, or very long cycle lengths. 80.01 and up F Source: HCM, 6th Edition 1 If V/C is greater than 1.0 then LOS is F per HCM. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 13 2.2.2 UNSIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS The City of Fontana requires the operations of unsignalized intersections be evaluated using the methodology described in the HCM. (4) The LOS rating is based on the weighted average control delay expressed in seconds per vehicle (see Table 2-2). At two-way or side-street stop-controlled intersections, LOS is calculated for each controlled movement and for the left turn movement from the major street, as well as for the intersection as a whole. For approaches composed of a single lane, the delay is computed as the average of all movements in that lane. Delay for the intersection is reported for the worst individual movement at a two-way stop-controlled intersection. For all-way stop controlled intersections, LOS is computed for the intersection as a whole (average delay). TABLE 2-2: UNSIGNALIZED INTERSECTION LOS THRESHOLDS 2.3 TRAFFIC SIGNAL WARRANT ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY The term "signal warrants" refers to the list of established criteria used by Caltrans and other public agencies to quantitatively justify or determine the potential need for installation of a traffic signal at an otherwise unsignalized intersection. This TA uses the signal warrant criteria presented in the latest edition of the Caltrans California Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (CA MUTCD). (5) The signal warrant criteria for Existing study area intersections are based upon several factors, including volume of vehicular and pedestrian traffic, frequency of accidents, and location of school areas. The CA MUTCD indicates that the installation of a traffic signal should be considered if one or more of the signal warrants are met. (5) Specifically, this TA utilizes the Peak Hour Volume-based Warrant 3 as the appropriate representative traffic signal warrant analysis for existing traffic conditions and for all future analysis scenarios for existing unsignalized intersections. Warrant 3 is appropriate to use for this TA because it provides specialized warrant criteria for intersections with rural characteristics. For the purposes of this study, the speed limit was the basis for determining whether Urban or Rural warrants were used for a given intersection. Rural warrants have been used as posted speed limits on the major roadways with unsignalized intersections are 40 miles per hour or below. Future intersections that do not currently exist have been assessed regarding the potential need for new traffic signals based on future average daily traffic (ADT) volumes, using the Caltrans planning Description Average Control Delay (Seconds), V/C ≤ 1.0 Level of Service, V/C ≤ 1.01 Little or no delays.0 to 10.00 A Short traffic delays.10.01 to 15.00 B Average traffic delays.15.01 to 25.00 C Long traffic delays.25.01 to 35.00 D Very long traffic delays.35.01 to 50.00 E Extreme traffic delays with intersection capacity exceeded.> 50.00 F Source: HCM, 6th Edition 1 If V/C is greater than 1.0 then LOS is F per HCM. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 14 level ADT-based signal warrant analysis worksheets. Similarly, the speed limit has been used as the basis for determining the use of Urban and Rural warrants. Traffic signal warrant analyses were performed for the following study area intersection shown on Table 2-3: TABLE 2-3: TRAFFIC SIGNAL WARRANT ANALYSIS LOCATIONS The Existing conditions traffic signal warrant analysis is presented in the subsequent section, Section 3 Area Conditions of this report. The traffic signal warrant analyses for future conditions are presented in Section 5 EAP (2027) Tra ffic Conditions and Section 6 Ope n in g Ye a r Cumulative (2027) Traffic Conditions of this report. It is important to note that a signal warrant defines the minimum condition under which the installation of a traffic signal might be warranted. Meeting this threshold condition does not require that a traffic control signal be installed at a particular location, but rather, that other traffic factors and conditions be evaluated in order to determine whether the signal is truly justified. It should also be noted that signal warrants do not necessarily correlate with LOS. An intersection may satisfy a signal warrant condition and operate at or above acceptable LOS or operate below acceptable LOS and not meet a signal warrant. 2.4 MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE LEVELS OF SERVICE (LOS) Minimum Acceptable LOS and associated definitions of intersection deficiencies has been obtained from each of the applicable surrounding jurisdictions. CITY OF FONTANA The City’s General Plan recommends a LOS standard of LOS C. Intersections which are forecast to operate at unsatisfactory conditions (i.e., at LOS worse than LOS C for city intersections) shall be identified as cumulatively deficient intersections. Therefore, any intersection operating at LOS D, E, or F will be considered deficient for the purposes of this analysis. (1) 2.5 DEFICIENCY CRITERIA This section outlines the methodology used in this analysis related to identifying circulation system deficiencies. For the intersections that lie within the City of Fontana, determination of direct project- related deficiencies will be based on a comparison of without and with project levels of service for each analysis year. A project-related deficiency occurs if project traffic increases the average delay at an intersection by more than the thresholds identified on Table 2-4. The thresholds for LOS A, B, and C do not apply to projects consistent with the General Plan. ID Intersection Location Jurisdiction 3 Driveway 1/Southridge Park & Live Oak Av.Fontana 4 Live Oak Av. & Goldenrain Dr./Driveway 2 Fontana Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 15 TABLE 2-4: THRESHOLDS OF SIGNIFICANT IMPACT Cumulative traffic impacts are deficiencies that are not directly caused by the Project but occur as a result of regional growth combined with that or other nearby cumulative development projects. Cumulative impacts utilize the same thresholds of significant impacts as shown on Table 2-4. The Project’s contribution to a particular cumulative transportation deficiency is deemed cumulatively considerable if the Project adds significant traffic to the forecasted deficiency (Per Table 2-4). A Project’s contribution to a cumulatively considerable impact can be reduced to less than significant if the Project is required to implement or fund its fair share of improvements designed to alleviate the potential cumulative impact. If full funding of future cumulative improvements is not reasonably assured, a temporary unmitigated cumulative impact may occur until the needed improvement is fully funded and constructed. 2.6 PROJECT FAIR SHARE CALCULATION METHODOLOGY In cases where this TA identifies that the Project would contribute additional traffic volumes to traffic deficiencies, Project fair share costs of improvements necessary to address deficiencies have been identified. The Project’s fair share cost of improvements is determined based on the following equation, which is the ratio of Project traffic to new traffic, and new traffic is total future (Horizon Year) traffic less existing baseline traffic: Project Fair Share % = Project AM/PM Traffic / (OYC 2027 With Project AM/PM Total Traffic – Existing AM/PM Traffic) The project fair share percentage has been calculated for both the AM peak hour and PM peak hour and the highest of the two has been selected. The Project fair share contribution calculations are presented in Section 7 Local and Regional Funding Mechanisms of this TA. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 16 This page intentionally left blank Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 17 3 AREA CONDITIONS This section provides a summary of the existing circulation network, the City of Fontana General Plan Circulation Network, and a review of existing peak hour intersection operations and traffic signal warrant analyses. 3.1 EXISTING CIRCULATION NETWORK Pursuant to the scoping agreement with City of Fontana staff (Appendix 1.1), the study area includes a total of 5 existing and future intersections as shown previously on Exhibit 1-3. Exhibit 3-1 illustrates the study area intersections located near the proposed Project and identifies the number of through traffic lanes for existing roadways and intersection traffic controls. 3.2 GENERAL PLAN CIRCULATION ELEMENTS Exhibit 3-2 shows the City of Fontana General Plan Circulation Element. The City of Fontana General Plan does not include roadway cross-sections in its General Plan. Major Highways are four-to-six-lane divided roadways (typically divided by a raised median or painted two-way turn-lane). These roadways serve both regional through-traffic and inter-city traffic and typically direct traffic onto and off-of the freeways. The following study area roadways within the City of Fontana are classified as a Major Highways: • Cherry Avenue, north of Jurupa Avenue Modified Major Highways are four-to-six-lane divided roadways (typically divided by a raised median or painted two-way turn-lane). These roadways serve both regional through-traffic and inter-city traffic and typically direct traffic onto and off-of the freeways. The following study area roadways within the City of Fontana are classified as a Modified Major Highways: • Jurupa Avenue Primary Highways are four-lane divided roadways (typically divided by a raised median or painted two-way turn-lane). These roadways serve local traffic. The following study area roadways within the City of Fontana are classified as a Primary Major Highways: • Cherry Avenue, south of Jurupa Avenue Collector Streets are two-lane streets, providing one lane in each direction. The following study area roadway within the study area is classified as a Collector Street: • Live Oak Avenue Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 18 EXHIBIT 3-1: EXISTING NUMBER OF THROUGH LANES AND INTERSECTION CONTROLS Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 19 EXHIBIT 3-2: CITY OF FONTANA HIERARCHY OF STREETS Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 20 3.3 BICYCLE & PEDESTRIAN FACILITIES The City of Fontana bike facilities are shown on Exhibit 3-3. Cherry Avenue (south of Jurupa Avenue) and Live Oak Avenue (west of Cherry Avenue) are proposed as Class II bike facilities (striped, on-street bike lanes). Existing pedestrian facilities are shown on Exhibit 3-4. As shown on Exhibit 3-4, there are limited pedestrian facilities along Live Oak Avenue. There is a Class I (off-road) bikeway within the Southern California Edison easement south of Jurupa Avenue and west of Live Oak Avenue. 3.4 TRANSIT SERVICE The study area is currently served by Omnitracs Transit Agency with bus services along parts of Jurupa Avenue and Cherry Avenue, south of Jurupa Avenue. Routes 82 is the closest route that provides service along Cherry Avenue, northwest of the Project; however, there are currently no transit routes that provide service along Live Oak Avenue that could potentially serve the Project site in the future. The existing stop on Jurupa Avenue at Live Oak Avenue is approximately 1,550 feet north of the Project with 60 to 65-minute headways. The existing stop on Cherry Avenue at Live Oak Avenue is approximately 1,325 feet west of the Project and also has 60 to 65-minute headways. Omnitrans Route 82 serves Rancho Cucamonga, Fontana, and Sierra Lakes with major stops at the Rancho Cucamonga Metrolink Station, Victoria Gardens, Ontario Mills, and Fontana Metrolink Station. The transit services are illustrated on Exhibit 3-5. Transit service is reviewed and updated by Omnitrans periodically to address ridership, budget, and community demand needs. Changes in land use can affect these periodic adjustments which may lead to either enhanced or reduced service where appropriate. 3.5 EXISTING TRAFFIC COUNTS The intersection LOS analysis is based on the traffic volumes observed during the peak hour conditions using traffic count data collected in 2022. The following peak hours were selected for analysis: • Weekday AM Peak Hour (peak hour between 7:00 AM and 9:00 AM) • Weekday PM Peak Hour (peak hour between 4:00 PM and 6:00 PM) The raw manual peak hour turning movement traffic count data sheets are included in Appendix 3.1. Where actual 24-hour tube count data was not available, Existing ADT volumes were based upon factored intersection peak hour counts collected by Urban Crossroads, Inc. using the following formula for each intersection leg (see Exhibit 3-6): Weekday PM Peak Hour (Approach Volume + Exit Volume) x 11.38 = Leg Volume A comparison of the PM peak hour and daily traffic volumes of various roadway segments within the study area indicated that the peak-to-daily relationship is approximately 8.875 percent. As such, the above equation utilizing a factor of 11.38 estimates the ADT volumes on the study area roadway segments assuming a peak-to-daily relationship of approximately 8.875 percent (i.e., 1/0.0878 = 11.38) and was assumed to sufficiently estimate average daily traffic (ADT) volumes for planning-level analyses. Existing weekday AM and weekday PM peak hour intersection volumes are shown on Exhibit 3-6. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 21 EXHIBIT 3-3: CITY OF FONTANA BICYCLE FACILITIES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 22 EXHIBIT 3-4: EXISTING PEDESTRIAN FACILITIES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 23 EXHIBIT 3-5: EXISTING TRANSIT ROUTES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 24 EXHIBIT 3-6: EXISTING (2022) TRAFFIC VOLUMES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 25 3.6 EXISTING (2022) INTERSECTION OPERATIONS ANALYSIS Existing peak hour traffic operations have been evaluated for the study area intersections based on the analysis methodologies presented in Section 2.2 Intersection Capacity Analysis of this report. The intersection operations analysis results are summarized in Table 3-1 which indicates that all study area intersections are currently operating at an acceptable LOS during the peak hours. The intersection operations analysis worksheets are included in Appendix 3.2 of this TA. TABLE 3-1: INTERSECTION ANALYSIS FOR EXISTING (2022) CONDITIONS 3.7 EXISTING (2022) TRAFFIC SIGNAL WARRANTS ANALYSIS Traffic signal warrants for Existing traffic conditions are based on existing peak hour intersection turning volumes. The unsignalized study area intersections currently do not meet a traffic signal warrant under Existing (2022) traffic conditions (see Appendix 3.3). Traffic Delay (secs.)2 Level of Service #Intersection Control 1 AM PM AM PM 1 Cherry Av. & Jurupa Av.TS 24.2 21.0 C C 2 Cherry Av. & Live Oak AV.TS 11.4 8.8 B A 3 Driveway 1/Southridge Park & Live Oak Av.CSS 14.3 14.0 B B 4 Live Oak Av. & Goldenrain Dr./Driveway 2 CSS 11.2 11.1 B B 5 Live Oak Av. & Jurupa Av.TS 19.8 27.6 B C 1 TS = Traffic Signal; CSS = Cross-street Stop 2 Per the Highway Capacity Manual, overall average intersection delay and level of service are shown for intersections with a traffic signal or all way stop control. For intersections with cross street stop control, the delay and level of service for the worst individual movement (or movements sharing a single lane) are shown. HCM delay reported in seconds. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 26 This page intentionally left blank Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 27 4 PROJECTED FUTURE TRAFFIC This section presents the traffic volumes estimated to be generated by the Project, as well as the Project’s trip assignment onto the study area roadway network. The Project is proposed to consist of 255 single family attached residential dwelling units. Vehicular access will be provided via two driveways on Live Oak Avenue (full access with no turn restrictions). Regional access to the Project site is available from the I-10 Freeway via Cherry Avenue to the north, the I-15 Freeway via Jurupa Avenue to the west, and SR-60 Freeway via Mulberry Avenue to the south. 4.1 PROJECT TRIP GENERATION Trip generation represents the amount of traffic which is both attracted to and produced by a development. Determining traffic generation for a specific project is therefore based upon forecasting the amount of traffic that is expected to be both attracted to and produced by the specific land uses being proposed for a given development. The Project trip rate and trip generation summary is shown in Table 4-1. As shown in Table 4-1, the Project is anticipated to generate a total of 1,836 two-way trips per day with 112 AM peak hour trips and 145 PM peak hour trips. TABLE 4-1: PROJECT TRIP GENERATION SUMMARY 4.2 PROJECT TRIP DISTRIBUTION The Project trip distribution and assignment process represents the directional orientation of traffic to and from the Project site. The trip distribution pattern is heavily influenced by the geographical location of the site, the location of surrounding uses, and the proximity to the regional freeway system. Exhibit 4-1 illustrates the distribution patterns for the Project. ITE AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Code In Out Total In Out Total Single Family Attached 215 DU 0.149 0.331 0.480 0.325 0.245 0.570 7.200 1 Trip Generation Source: Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE), Trip Generation Manual, Eleventh Edition (2021). 2 DU = dwelling units AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Project Quantity In Out Total In Out Total Southridge Fontana 255 DU 38 84 122 83 63 145 1,836 1 DU = dwelling units Daily Land Use1 Units2 Daily Units1 Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 28 EXHIBIT 4-1: PROJECT TRIP DISTRIBUTION Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 29 4.3 MODAL SPLIT The potential for Project trips (non-truck) to be reduced by the use of public transit, walking or bicycling have not been included as part of the Project’s estimated trip generation. Essentially, the Project’s traffic projections are "conservative" in that these alternative travel modes would reduce the forecasted traffic volumes. 4.4 PROJECT TRIP ASSIGNMENT The assignment of traffic from the Project area to the adjoining roadway system is based upon the Project trip generation, trip distribution, and the arterial highway and local street system improvements that would be in place by the time of initial occupancy of the Project. Based on the identified Project traffic generation and trip distribution patterns, Project weekday ADT and weekday/weekend peak hour intersection turning movement volumes are shown on Exhibit 4-2. 4.5 BACKGROUND TRAFFIC Future year traffic forecasts have been based upon background (ambient) growth at 2.0% per year for 2027 traffic conditions, consistent with other recent studies performed in the area. The total ambient growth is 10.41% for 2027 traffic conditions (compounded growth of 2.0 percent per year over 5 years or 1.025 years). The ambient growth factor is intended to approximate regional traffic growth. This ambient growth rate is added to existing traffic volumes to account for area-wide growth not reflected by cumulative development projects. Ambient growth has been added to daily and peak hour traffic volumes on surrounding roadways, in addition to traffic generated by the development of future projects that have been approved but not yet built and/or for which development applications have been filed and are under consideration by governing agencies. EAP and Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic volumes are provided in Section 5 and 6 of this TA. The traffic generated by the proposed Project was then manually added to the base volume to determine Opening Year Cumulative “With Project” forecasts. 4.6 CUMULATIVE DEVELOPMENT TRAFFIC A cumulative project list was developed for the purposes of this analysis through consultation with planning and engineering staff from the City of Fontana. The cumulative projects listed are those that would generate traffic and would contribute traffic to study area intersections. Exhibit 4-3 illustrates the cumulative development location map. A summary of cumulative development projects and their proposed land uses are shown on Table 4-2. If applicable, the traffic generated by individual cumulative projects was manually added to the Opening Year Cumulative forecasts to ensure that traffic generated by the listed cumulative development projects on Table 4-2 are reflected as part of the background traffic. In an effort to conduct a conservative analysis, the cumulative projects are added in conjunction with the ambient growth identified in Section 4.5 Background Traffic. Cumulative ADT and peak hour intersection turning movement volumes are shown on Exhibit 4-4. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 30 EXHIBIT 4-2: PROJECT ONLY TRAFFIC VOLUMES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 31 EXHIBIT 4-3: CUMULATIVE DEVELOPMENT LOCATION MAP Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 32 EXHIBIT 4-4: CUMULATIVE ONLY TRAFFIC VOLUMES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 33 TABLE 4-2: CUMULATIVE DEVELOPMENT LAND USE SUMMARY ID Project Land Use Quantity1 1 Fontana Corporate Center Warehouse 355.370 TSF 2 Fontana Trailer Storage Yard Truck Trailer Storage Yard 17.380 AC 3 MG Home International Warehouse Warehouse 15.570 TSF 4 Calabash Industrial Building Warehouse 64.692 TSF 5 Cherry Av. Warehouse Warehouse 174.280 TSF 6 Beech & Santa Ana Warehouse Warehouse 174.000 TSF 7 Banana & Rose Warehouse 85.730 TSF 8 MCN No. 19-040 Warehouse 106.500 TSF 9 MCN No. 21-074 Warehouse 42.000 TSF 10 TPM No. 20236 (MCN No. 20-040)Warehouse (2 Buildings)158.223 TSF 11 MCN No. 19-094 Warehouse 192.000 TSF 12 MCN No. 19-057 Warehouse 146.800 TSF 13 Slover and Redwood Industrial Truck Trailer Storage Yard 5.120 AC 14 14801 Slover Avenue Warehouse Warehouse 308.211 TSF 15 MCN No. 21-049 Warehouse 210.400 TSF 16 Banana & Santa Ana Warehouse Warehouse 341.838 TSF 17 First Industrial Catawba Warehouse Warehouse (Shell; MCN22-00003 18.467 TSF 18 Project No. 22-013 Research and Devopment 180.600 TSF Office, Space, Parking, and landscaping 20.000 TSF 19 MCN20-000080 (Manheim Buildin Expansion Service Bay and Office Building (e 10.612 TSF 20 MCN21-000082 (Truck Repair)Office Building 10.804 TSF Truck Repair Shop 3.850 TSF Truck Wash Area with 20 parking 28.000 spaces 21 MCN18-00095 (Banana Av. Development)Warehouse 133.813 TSF 22 MCN19-000021 (Cabot Commerce Center)Warehouse Building Total of 159 159.618 TSF with office space included 7.000 TSF 23 MCN19-000035 (Fontana Santa Ana Industrial Center)Warehouse 296.920 TSF 24 MCN18-000085 (Jurupa and Redwood Warehouse)Warehouse 78.000 TSF Office Space 5.000 TSF 25 MCN21-000097 (mulberry)Warehouse 229.014 TSF 26 TTM 21-020 3 Warehouses 279.859 TSF 27 MCN19-000022 (Parkhouse Tire Project)Recapping Facility 63.000 TSF 28 MCN20-000095 (Colombard trailer Yard)Office 1.575 TSF Trailer Yard 67.000 spaces 1 TSF = Thousand Square Feet; AC = Acres Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 34 4.7 NEAR-TERM TRAFFIC CONDITIONS The “buildup” approach combines existing traffic counts with a background ambient growth factor to forecast the near-term EAP (2027) and Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions. An ambient growth factor of 2.0% per year, compounded annually, accounts for background (area-wide) traffic increases that occur over time up to the year 2027 from the year 2022. Traffic volumes generated by cumulative development projects are then added to assess the Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions. Lastly, Project traffic is added to assess “With Project” traffic conditions. The 2027 roadway network are similar to the existing conditions roadway network with the exception of future roadways and intersections proposed to be developed by the Project. The near-term traffic analysis includes the following traffic conditions, with the various traffic components: • EAP (2027) o Existing 2022 volumes o Ambient growth traffic (10.14%) o Project Traffic • Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project o Existing 2022 volumes o Ambient growth traffic (10.14%) o Cumulative Traffic • Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project o Existing 2022 volumes o Ambient growth traffic (10.14%) o Cumulative Traffic o Project Traffic Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 35 5 EAP (2027) TRAFFIC CONDITIONS This section discusses the methods used to develop EAP traffic forecasts, and the resulting intersection operations and traffic signal warrant analyses. 5.1 ROADWAY IMPROVEMENTS The lane configurations and traffic controls assumed to be in place for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions are consistent with those shown previously on Exhibit 3-1, with the exception of the following: • Project driveways and those facilities assumed to be constructed by the Project to provide site access are also assumed to be in place for EAP conditions only (e.g., intersection and roadway improvements along the Project’s frontage and driveways). 5.2 EAP (2027) PROJECT TRAFFIC VOLUME FORECASTS This scenario includes Existing traffic volumes plus an ambient growth factor of 10.41% and the addition of Project traffic. The ADT and peak hour intersection turning movement volumes which can be expected for EAP (2027) conditions are shown on Exhibit 5-1. 5.3 INTERSECTION OPERATIONS ANALYSIS EAP (2027) peak hour traffic operations have been evaluated for the study area intersections based on the analysis methodologies presented in Section 2.2 Intersection Capacity Analysis of this report. The intersection analysis results are summarized in Table 5-1, which indicate all of study area intersections is anticipated to operate at an acceptable LOS during the peak hours under EAP (2027) traffic conditions. The intersection operations analysis worksheets for EAP (2027) traffic conditions are included in Appendix 5.1 of this TA. TABLE 5-1: INTERSECTION ANALYSIS FOR EAP (2027) CONDITIONS Traffic Delay (secs.)2 Level of Service Delay (secs.)2 Level of Service #Intersection Control 1 AM PM AM PM AM PM AM PM 1 Cherry Av. & Jurupa Av.TS 24.2 21.0 C C 26.4 23.1 C C 2 Cherry Av. & Live Oak AV.TS 11.4 8.8 B A 13.9 10.3 B B 3 Driveway 1/Southridge Park & Live Oak Av.CSS 14.3 14.0 B B 21.8 18.9 C C 4 Live Oak Av. & Goldenrain Dr./Driveway 2 CSS 11.2 11.1 B B 21.0 13.6 C B 5 Live Oak Av. & Jurupa Av.TS 19.8 27.6 B C 23.5 31.1 C C 1 TS = Traffic Signal; CSS = Cross-street Stop 2 Existing (2021)EAP (2027) Per the Highway Capacity Manual, overall average intersection delay and level of service are shown for intersections with a traffic signal or all way stop control. For intersections with cross street stop control, the delay and level of service for the worst individual movement (or movements sharing a single lane) are shown. HCM delay reported in seconds. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 36 EXHIBIT 5-1: EAP TRAFFIC VOLUMES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 37 5.4 TRAFFIC SIGNAL WARRANTS ANALYSIS Traffic signal warrants have been performed (based on CA MUTCD) for EAP (2027) traffic conditions based on peak hour intersection turning movements volumes. There is no unsignalized study area intersection anticipated to meet a traffic signal warrant under EAP (2027) traffic conditions (see Appendix 5.2). Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 38 This page intentionally left blank Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 39 6 OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) TRAFFIC CONDITIONS This section discusses the methods used to develop Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without and With Project traffic forecasts, and the resulting intersection operations and traffic signal warrant analyses. 6.1 ROADWAY IMPROVEMENTS The lane configurations and traffic controls assumed to be in place for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions are consistent with those shown previously on Exhibit 3-1, with the exception of the following: • Project driveways and those facilities assumed to be constructed by the Project to provide site access are also assumed to be in place for Opening Year Cumulative conditions only (e.g., intersection and roadway improvements along the Project’s frontage and driveways). • Driveways and those facilities assumed to be constructed by cumulative developments to provide site access are also assumed to be in place for Opening Year Cumulative conditions only (e.g., intersection and roadway improvements along the cumulative development’s frontages and driveways). 6.2 OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) WITHOUT PROJECT TRAFFIC VOLUME FORECASTS This scenario includes Existing traffic volumes plus an ambient growth factor of 10.41% plus traffic from pending and approved but not yet constructed known development projects in the area. The ADT and peak hour intersection turning movement volumes which can be expected for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project conditions are shown on Exhibit 6-1. 6.3 OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) WITH PROJECT TRAFFIC VOLUME FORECASTS This scenario includes Existing traffic volumes, an ambient growth factor of 10.41%, traffic from pending and approved but not yet constructed known development projects in the area and the addition of Project traffic. The ADT and peak hour intersection turning movement volumes which can be expected for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project traffic conditions are shown on Exhibit 6-2. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 40 EXHIBIT 6-1: OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) WITHOUT PROJECT TRAFFIC VOLUMES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 41 EXHIBIT 6-2: OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) WITH PROJECT TRAFFIC VOLUMES Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 42 6.4 INTERSECTION OPERATIONS ANALYSIS 6.4.1 OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) WITHOUT PROJECT TRAFFIC CONDITIONS Opening Year Cumulative (2027) peak hour traffic operations have been evaluated for the study area intersections based on the analysis methodologies presented in Section 2.2 Intersection Capacity Analysis of this report. The intersection analysis results are summarized in Table 6-1, which indicate that all of study area intersections are anticipated to operate at an acceptable LOS during the peak hours under Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project traffic conditions, with the exception of the following location: • Live Oak Av. & Jurupa Avenue (#5) – LOS D PM peak hour only The intersection operations analysis worksheets for Opening Year Cumulative Without Project traffic conditions are included in Appendix 6.1 of this TA. 6.4.2 OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) WITH PROJECT TRAFFIC CONDITIONS As shown in Table 6-1, there are no additional study area intersections anticipated to operate at an unacceptable LOS with the addition of Project traffic under Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project traffic conditions in addition to the location previously identified under Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without Project traffic conditions. The intersection operations analysis worksheets for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) With Project traffic conditions are included in Appendix 6.2 of this TA. TABLE 6-1: INTERSECTION ANALYSIS FOR OPENING YEAR CUMULATIVE (2027) CONDITIONS 6.5 TRAFFIC SIGNAL WARRANTS ANALYSIS Traffic signal warrants have been performed (based on CA MUTCD) for Opening Year Cumulative (2027) traffic conditions based on peak hour intersection turning movements volumes. The unsignalized study area intersections are anticipated to meet a traffic signal warrant under Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without and With Project traffic conditions (see Appendix 6.3 and Appendix 6.4). Traffic Delay (secs.)2 Level of Service Delay (secs.)2 Level of Service #Intersection Control 1 AM PM AM PM AM PM AM PM 1 Cherry Av. & Jurupa Av.TS 29.4 25.3 C C 29.9 25.7 C C 2 Cherry Av. & Live Oak AV.TS 12.8 9.6 B A 14.1 10.4 B B 3 Driveway 1/Southridge Park & Live Oak Av.CSS 15.6 15.2 C C 21.8 18.9 C C 4 Live Oak Av. & Goldenrain Dr./Driveway 2 CSS 11.6 11.4 B B 21.0 13.6 C B 5 Live Oak Av. & Jurupa Av.TS 27.2 39.8 C D 28.7 42.3 C D 1 TS = Traffic Signal; CSS = Cross-street Stop 2 Per the Highway Capacity Manual, overall average intersection delay and level of service are shown for intersections with a traffic signal or all way stop control. For intersections with cross street stop control, the delay and level of service for the worst individual movement (or movements sharing a single lane) are shown. HCM delay reported in seconds. 2027 Without Project 2027 With Project Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 43 6.6 DEFICIENCIES AND IMPROVEMENTS This section provides a summary of deficiencies, based on the City of Fontana’s deficiency criteria discussed in Section 2.5 Deficiency Criteria, and improvements needed to improve operations back to acceptable levels. Although the intersection of Live Oak Avenue at Jurupa Avenue is anticipated to operate at a deficient LOS during the PM peak hour for both Opening Year Cumulative (2027) Without and With Project traffic conditions, the addition of Project traffic would increase the PM peak hour delay by less than 5.0 seconds (City’s threshold criteria for LOS D). As such, improvements have not been identified at the intersection of Live Oak Avenue and Jurupa Avenue. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 44 This page intentionally left blank Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 45 7 LOCAL AND REGIONAL FUNDING MECHANISMS Transportation improvements within the City of Fontana are funded through a combination of direct project mitigation, development impact fee programs or fair share contributions, such as the City of Fontana DIF program. Identification and timing of needed improvements is generally determined through local jurisdictions based upon a variety of factors. 7.1 MEASURE “I” FUNDS In 2004, the voters of San Bernardino County approved the 30-year extension of Measure “I”, a one- half of one percent sales tax on retail transactions, through the year 2040, for transportation projects including, but not limited to, infrastructure improvements, commuter rail, public transit, and other identified improvements. The Measure “I” extension requires that a regional traffic impact fee be created to ensure development is paying its fair share. A regional Nexus study was prepared by SBCTA and concluded that each jurisdiction should include a regional fee component in their local programs in order to meet the Measure “I” requirement. The regional component assigns specific facilities and cost sharing formulas to each jurisdiction and was most recently updated in May 2018. Revenues collected through these programs are used in tandem with Measure “I” funds to deliver projects identified in the Nexus Study. While Measure “I” is a self-executing sales tax administered by SBCTA, it bears discussion here because the funds raised through Measure “I” have funded in the past and will continue to fund new transportation facilities in San Bernardino County, including within the City of Fontana. 7.2 CITY OF FONTANA DEVELOPMENT IMPACT FEE (DIF) The City of Fontana adopted the latest update to their DIF program in September 2019. Fees from new residential, commercial, and industrial development are collected to fund Measure “I” compliant regional facilities as well as local facilities. Under the City’s DIF program, the City may grant to developers a credit against specific components of fees when those developers construct certain facilities and landscaped medians identified in the list of improvements funded by the DIF program. After the City’s DIF fees are collected, they are placed in a separate restricted use account pursuant to the requirements of Government Code sections 66000 et seq. The timing to use the DIF fees is established through periodic capital improvement programs which are overseen by the City’s Engineering Department. Periodic traffic counts, review of traffic accidents, and a review of traffic trends throughout the City are also periodically performed by City staff and consultants. The City uses this data to determine the timing of the improvements listed in its facilities list. The City also uses this data to ensure that the improvements listed on the facilities list are constructed before the LOS falls below the LOS performance standards adopted by the City. In this way, the improvements are constructed before the LOS falls below the City’s LOS performance thresholds. The City’s DIF program establishes a timeline to fund, design, and build the improvements. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 46 This page intentionally left blank Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 47 8 VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED Changes to California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines were adopted in December 2018, which require all lead agencies to adopt VMT as a replacement for automobile delay-based level of service (LOS) as the measure for identifying transportation impacts for land use projects. This statewide mandate went into effect July 1, 2020. To aid in this transition, the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (OPR) released a Technical Advisory on Evaluating Transportation Impacts in CEQA (December of 2018) (Technical Advisory) (2). Based on OPR’s Technical Advisory, specific procedures for complying with the new CEQA requirements for VMT analysis, the City of Fontana adopted Traffic Impact Analysis Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled and Level of Service Assessment (City Guidelines) (1). The City Guidelines documents the City’s VMT analysis methodology and adopted VMT impact thresholds. The VMT screening evaluation presented in this report has been developed based on these City Guidelines. 8.1 PROJECT SCREENING The City Guidelines describe specific “screening thresholds” that can be used to identify when a proposed land use project is anticipated to result in a less than significant impact without conducting a more detailed project level VMT analysis. For the purposes of this analysis, the initial VMT screening process has been conducted with the SBCTA VMT Screening Tool (Screening Tool), which uses screening criteria consistent with the screening thresholds recommended in the City Guidelines. Screening thresholds are described in the following four steps: • Step 1: Transit Priority Area (TPA) Screening • Step 2: Low VMT Area Screening • Step 3: Low (Local Serving) Project Type Screening • Step 4: Project net daily trips less than 500 ADT Consistent with City Guidelines, a land use project needs only to satisfy one of the above screening thresholds to result in a less than significant impact. 8.1.1 STEP 1: TPA SCREENING Consistent with guidance identified in the City Guidelines, projects located within a Transit Priority Area (TPA) (i.e., within ½ mile of an existing “major transit stop”1 or an existing stop along a “high- quality transit corridor”2) may be presumed to have a less than significant impact absent substantial evidence to the contrary. However, the presumption may not be appropriate if a project: • Has a Floor Area Ratio (FAR) of less than 0.75; • Includes more parking for use by residents, customers, or employees of the project than required by the jurisdiction (if the jurisdiction requires the project to supply parking); 1 Pub. Resources Code, § 21064.3 (“‘Major transit stop’ means a site containing an existing rail transit station, a ferry terminal served by either a bus or rail transit service, or the intersection of two or more major bus routes with a frequency of service interval of 15 minutes or less during the morning and afternoon peak commute periods.”). 2 Pub. Resources Code, § 21155 (“For purposes of this section, a high-quality transit corridor means a corridor with fixed route bus service with service intervals no longer than 15 minutes during peak commute hours.”). Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 48 • Is inconsistent with the applicable Sustainable Communities Strategy (as determined by the lead agency, with input from the Metropolitan Planning Organization); or • Replaces affordable residential units with a smaller number of moderate- or high-income residential units. Based on the Screening Tool results presented in Appendix 8.1, the Project site is not located within ½ mile of an existing major transit stop, or along a high-quality transit corridor. TPA screening criteria is not met. 8.1.2 STEP 2: LOW VMT AREA SCREENING As noted in the City Guidelines, “Residential and office projects located within a low VMT-generating area may be presumed to have a less than significant impact absent substantial evidence to the contrary. In addition, other employment-related and mixed-use land use projects may qualify for the use of screening if the project can reasonably be expected to generate VMT per resident, per worker, or per service population that is similar to the existing land uses in the low VMT area”3. The Screening Tool uses the sub-regional San Bernardino County Transportation Analysis Model (SBTAM) to measure VMT performance within San Bernardino County for individual traffic analysis zones (TAZ’s) within each city. The Project’s physical location is selected by the Screening Tool to determine the VMT generated within the respective TAZ as compared to the jurisdictional average inclusive of a particular threshold (i.e., 15% below baseline County of San Bernardino VMT per service population (SP) or 28.3 VMT per SP). Based on the Screening Tool results, the Project is located in TAZ 53719401 and the Project’s TAZ has a VMT per SP of 28.3. Therefore, the Project is not located in a low VMT area and does not have a VMT per SP below the City’s adopted threshold of 15% below baseline County of San Bernardino VMT per service population (see Appendix 8.1). Low VMT Area screening criteria is not met. 8.1.3 STEP 3: LOW (LOCAL SERVING) PROJECT TYPE SCREENING The City Guidelines identify that local serving retail with buildings less than 50,000 square feet or other local serving essential services (e.g., day care centers, public schools, medical/dental office buildings, etc.) are presumed to have a less than significant impact absent substantial evidence to the contrary. The proposed Project is not considered a local serving use based on the examples provided in the City Guidelines.4 The Project does not intend to develop local serving retail or local serving essential services land use types. Low (Local Serving) Project Type screening criteria is not met. 3 City Guidelines; Page 12. 4 City Guidelines; Page 13. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 49 8.1.4 STEP 4: PROJECT NET DAILY TRIPS LESS THAN 500 ADT SCREENING Projects that generate fewer than 500 net ADT (stated in actual vehicles) are deemed to not cause a substantial increase in the total citywide or regional VMT and are therefore presumed to have a less than significant impact on VMT. Substantial evidence in support of the daily trip threshold is documented in the City Guidelines.5 The trip generation rates used for the proposed Project are based on the trip generation statistics published in the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (11th Edition, 2021). (3) The 39.2-acre Project site is located in the original Southridge Village Specific Plan (SVSP). The 1982 SVSP EIR (Original Specific Plan) analyzed the development of 8,800 residential units within the entire SVSP area. Since 1983, 18 amendments to the SVSP (Approved SPA #18) have been processed and a total of 7,908 residential units have been approved (see Table 8-1, and also Appendix 8.2). With the exception of the Project site and Planning Area 66B, which includes an overlay allowing self-storage uses, the SVSP is built out. TABLE 8-1: SVSP CAPACITIES AT BUILDOUT Dwelling Units Self-Storage Original Specific Plan 8,800 Approved SPA #18 7,908 235,224 SF Proposed Project 8,071 The Proposed Project intends to develop 255 units on the 39.2-acre site (Planning Areas 66A, 66B, and 56). The Proposed Project is within the remaining development capacity of SVSP. Of the 255 units, 92 units were assumed to occur on the site and 163 would be transferred from the overall remaining capacity, which is permitted by the SVSP. Therefore, buildout of the SVSP as modified by the Project is assumed to be 8,071 units. Table 8-2 presents a trip generation comparison between of the original SVSP, the approved SVSP SPA 18, and the Currently Proposed Project. 5 City Guidelines; Appendix B. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 50 TABLE 8-2: TRIP GENERATION COMPARISON The Currently Proposed Project is estimated to generate a net reduction of 7,422 daily vehicle trips as compared to the Original Specific Plan, which would not exceed the City’s screening threshold of 500 daily vehicle trips. Project net daily trips less than 500 ADT screening criteria is met. 8.2 CONCLUSION In summary, the Project was evaluated consistent with the City’s available screening criteria. The Project was found to meet the Project Net Daily Trips Less than 500 ADT screening criteria and is presumed to result in a less than significant impact for VMT; no further VMT analysis required. Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 51 9 REFERENCES 1. City of Fontana Public Works Department. Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and Level of Service Assessment. Fontana : s.n., October 21, 2020. 2. Office of Planning and Research. Technical Advisory on Evaluating Transportation Impacts in CEQA. State of California : s.n., December 2018. 3. Institute of Transportation Engineers. Trip Generation Manual. 11th Edition. 2021. 4. Transportation Research Board. Highway Capacity Manual (HCM). 6th Edition. s.l. : National Academy of Sciences, 2016. 5. California Department of Transportation. California Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (CA MUTCD). [book auth.] California Department of Transportation. California Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (CA MUTCD). 2014, Updated March 30, 2021 (Revision 6). Southridge Fontana Traffic Analysis 14713-03A TA Report 52 This page intentionally left blank