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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAppendix E - Trip Generation and VMT Screening MemorandumCitrus East Project  City of Fontana Initial Study/Mitigated Negative Declaration  June 2022 APPENDIX E ‐ TRIP GENERATION AND VMT  SCREENING MEMORANDUM VMT Analysis for: Citrus East Residential In the City of Fontana June 2022 VMT ANALYSIS FOR THE PROPOSED CITRUS EAST RESIDENTIAL IN THE CITY OF FONTANA Prepared by: Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. 1100 Town and Country Road, Suite 700 Orange, California 92868 June 2022 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Introduction ..........................................................................................................................................................................................1 Project Overview ................................................................................................................................................................................1 Vehicle Miles Traveled Screening..............................................................................................................................................3 VMT Thresholds .................................................................................................................................................................................4 VMT Analysis ........................................................................................................................................................................................5 Project VMT per Service Population......................................................................................................................................5 Potential Impacts ...........................................................................................................................................................................5 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................................................................................6 Citrus East Residential - 1 - Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. VMT Analysis June 2022 VEHICLE MILE TRAVELED ANALYSIS FOR THE PROPOSED CITRUS EAST RESIDENTIAL IN THE CITY OF FONTANA INTRODUCTION Senate Bill (SB) 743 was approved by the California legislature in September 2013. SB 743 requires changes to California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), specifically directing the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (OPR) to develop alternative metrics to the use of vehicular “level of service” (LOS) for evaluating transportation projects. OPR has updated guidelines for CEQA and written a technical advisory for evaluating transportation impacts in CEQA and has set a deadline of July 1, 2020 for local agencies to update their CEQA transportation procedures. OPR has recommended that Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) replace LOS as the primary measure of transportation impacts. The City of Fontana has adopted new Transportation Impact Guidelines and now relies on VMT as the measure for determining a project significant transportation impact under the CEQA process. This technical memorandum was prepared to document the VMT analysis for the Citrus East Residential project following the City of Fontana Transportation Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for VMT and LOS Assessment (October 2020). PROJECT OVERVIEW The project site consists of approximately 8.65 acres of land located on the northeast corner of Citrus Avenue and Summit Avenue in the City of Fontana. The project site is currently vacant. The project applicant proposes to develop 76 multi-family dwelling units. The project requires a General Plan Amendment (GPA) to amend the land use designation for the project site from Community Commercial (C-C) to Medium Density Residential (R-M), as well as a Zone Change (ZC) to amend the zoning from Community Commercial (C-1) to the Medium Density (R-2) Zoning District. A copy of the project site plan is provided in Figure 1. Trip generation estimates for the proposed project was based on the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (11th Edition) trip rates for Multi-Family Housing (Low- Rise) (ITE Code – 220). The project is estimated to generate 512 daily trips. - 2 - Citrus East Residential - 3 - Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. VMT Analysis June 2022 VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED SCREENING This section documents Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT)/ SB 743 considerations for the project. The City Guidelines provides details on appropriate screening thresholds that can be used to identify when a proposed land use project is anticipated to result in a less than significant impact without conducting a more detailed level analysis. Screening thresholds are broken into the following three steps: 1.Transit Priority Area (TPA) Screening 2.Low VMT Area Screening 3.Low Project Type Screening 4.Project Net Daily Trips Less Than 500 ADT A land use project needs only meet one of the above screening thresholds to be presumed to result in not significant impact under CEQA pursuant to SB 743. Transit Priority Area (TPA) Screening As described in the City Guidelines, projects located within a half mile from an existing major transit stop or within half of a mile from an existing stop along a high-quality transit corridor can be screened out. Based on San Bernardino County Transportation Authority (SBCTA) VMT Screening Tool, the project is not located in a Transit Priority Area (TPA). The TPA screening criteria is not met. Low VMT Area Screening The project is located in TAZ number 53739101. As shown in Figure 2, the project is not located in a Low VMT (15% below County Average) zone based on the SBCTA VMT Screening tool. As such, the Low VMT Area screening threshold is not met. Low Project Type Screening The City presumes various usages, assumed to be local serving in nature, as having less than significant impact absent of substantial evidence to the contrary. The Low Project Type screening is not met for this project. Project Net Daily Trips Less Than 500 ADT Screening The City Guidelines identify that project with a net daily trip generation of less than 500 ADT can be screened out. The project is estimated to 512 trips on a daily basis, which is slightly higher than the 500 ADT threshold. The Project Net Daily Trips Less Than 500 ADT screening criteria is not met. Citrus East Residential - 4 - Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. VMT Analysis June 2022 Figure 2 – Low VMT Area Screening VMT THRESHOLDS The City of Fontana Transportation Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for VMT and LOS Assessment (October 2020) recommends VMT thresholds set to 15% below the baseline County of San Bernardino VMT per service population (based on origin-destination). A project would result in a significant project-generated VMT impact if either of the following conditions are satisfied: 1.The baseline project-generated VMT per service population exceeds 15% below the baseline County of San Bernardino VMT per service population, or 2.The cumulative project-generated VMT per service population exceeds 15% below the baseline County of San Bernardino VMT per service population. A significant cumulative impact would occur if the project is determined to be inconsistent with the RTP/SCS and causes total daily VMT within the City to be higher than the no project alternative under cumulative conditions. The proposed project is consistent with the population growth projections within the City of Fontana in the SCAG 2020 RTP/SCS. The proposed project requires a GPA from C-C to R-M and a Zone Change from C-1 to R-2. for the project site. However, it should be noted that the proposed project (76 multi-family dwelling units) does not exceed the growth of 296 multi-family dwelling units assumed in the TAZ where the proposed project is located (53739101). As such, the proposed project is consistent with the RTP/SCS and would not create a significant cumulative transportation impact. Citrus East Residential - 5 - Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. VMT Analysis June 2022 As the project does not satisfy VMT screening criteria, a VMT analysis has been conducted for the project based on the San Bernardino County Transportation Analysis Model (SBTAM), consistent with the City of Fontana guidelines. For purposes of this VMT assessment the VMT per service population has been compared to 15% below countywide average VMT, based on data provided by SBCTA. Table 1 shows the calculated VMT thresholds: Table 1: VMT Thresholds Threshold Option Countywide Average Threshold (15% below) VMT per Service Population 32.7 27.8 VMT ANALYSIS Project VMT The calculation of vehicle miles traveled has two components – the total number of trips generated and the average trip length of each vehicle. SBTAM is a useful tool to estimate VMT as it considers interaction between different land uses based on socio-economic data such as population, households, and employment. Project VMT was calculated using the most current version of SBTAM. Adjustments in socio-economic data (76 multi-family homes and a population of 266) were made to the appropriate traffic analysis zone (TAZ; 53739101) within the SBTAM model to reflect the project’s proposed land use. The population of 266 was calculated based on a factor of 3.5 population per unit, consistent with assumptions in the SBTAM TAZ. For the purposes of this analysis, the project was isolated in a separate TAZ. Project VMT per Service Population The project VMT per service population is the total daily VMT (4,806) divided by the population (266) derived from the SBTAM model (since there is no employment component to the project, the service population is same as population). The Project VMT per service population calculated based on SBTAM is 18.1. Potential Impacts As shown in Table 2, the project’s VMT per service population would meet the 15% below countywide average threshold. As such, the project’s transportation impact is less-than- significant based on City of Fontana’s recommended thresholds. As stated earlier, the proposed project (76 multi-family dwelling units) does not exceed the growth of 296 multi-family dwelling units assumed in the TAZ where the proposed project is located (53739101). As such, the project is consistent with the RTP/SCS and would not create a significant cumulative transportation impact. Therefore, the project’s cumulative VMT per service population would be considered less-than-significant. Citrus East Residential - 6 - Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. VMT Analysis June 2022 Table 2: VMT Impact Evaluation Threshold Option Threshold Project Change Potentially Significant? VMT per service population 27.8 18.1 -9.7 No CONCLUSION The Project was evaluated based on the SBCTA VMT screening tool and was found to not meet screening criteria based on VMT per service population metric. Consistent with the City of Fontana Guidelines, a project level VMT analysis was performed with the SBTAM model for the proposed residential use. The Project’s VMT was found to be less than significant based on City of Fontana’s recommended thresholds based on VMT per service population. The Project’s transportation impact is therefore presumed to be less than significant. kimley-horn.com 1100 Town and Country Road,Suite 700,Orange,CA 92868 714 939 1030 MEMORANDUM To: Mahmoud Khodr Senior Traffic Engineer City of Fontana From: Trevor Briggs, P.E. Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. Date: October 1, 2021 Subject:Trip Generation and VMT Screening Memorandum for the Proposed Citrus East Residential Project in the City of Fontana Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. has prepared a trip generation and vehicle miles traveled (VMT) screening memorandum to evaluate the trip generation potential and VMT screening for the proposed Citrus East Residential project. PROJECT DESCRIPTION The project site consists of approximately 8.65 acres of land located on the northeast corner of Citrus Avenue and Summit Avenue in the City of Fontana. The project site is currently vacant. The project applicant proposes to develop 76 multi-family dwelling units. A copy of the project site plan is provided in Figure 1. TRIP GENERATION A trip generation analysis has been prepared to evaluate the trip generating characteristics for the proposed project. Trip generation estimates for the proposed project were based on the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (10th Edition) trip rates for Multi-Family Housing (Low-Rise) (ITE Code – 220). Trip generation rates and the resulting trip generation estimates for the proposed project are summarized on Table 1. Based on Table 1, the project is estimated to generate 556 daily trips, with 35 trips (8 inbound and 27 outbound) in the morning peak hour and 43 trips (27 inbound and 16 outbound) in the evening peak hour. - 2 - TABLE 1 SUMMARY OF PROJECT TRIP GENERATION FONTANA - LENNAR CITRUS EAST Trip Generation Rates 1 ITE AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Land Use Code Unit Daily In Out Total In Out Total Multifamily Housing (Low-Rise)220 DU 7.320 0.106 0.354 0.46 0.353 0.207 0.56 Trip Generation Estimates AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Land Use Quantity Unit Daily In Out Total In Out Total Multifamily Housing (Low-Rise)76 DU 556 8 27 35 27 16 43 Total Project Trips 556 8 27 35 27 16 43 1 Source: Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual, 10th Edition Citrus East Residential Project Traffic Memorandum - 3 -Kimley-Horn and Associates, Inc. October 2021 kimley-horn.com 1100 Town and Country Road,Suite 700,Orange,CA 92868 714 939 1030 Mr.Khodr,October 1, 2021,Page 4 JURISDICTIONAL REQUIREMENTS The City of Fontana Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and Level of Service Assessment (June 2020) provides guidance on when a Traffic Impact Study is required for a project. The City document specifies that: ·If a project generates less than 50 peak hour trips, a traffic analysis shall not be required, and a trip generation memo will be considered sufficient unless the City has specific concerns related to project access and interaction with adjacent intersections. Since the proposed project is expected to generate less than 50 peak hour trips, a traffic analysis is not required. CEQA VEHICLE MILES TRAVELED (VMT) ASSESSMENT Senate Bill 743 (SB 743) was approved by California legislature in September 2013. SB 743 requires changes to California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), specifically directing the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (OPR) to develop alternative metrics to the use of vehicular “Level of Service” (LOS) for evaluating transportation projects. OPR has prepared a technical advisory (“OPR Technical Advisory”) for evaluating transportation impacts in CEQA and has recommended that Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) replace LOS as the primary measure of transportation impacts. The Natural Resources Agency has adopted updates to CEQA Guidelines to incorporate SB 743 that requires VMT for the purposes of determining a significant transportation impact under CEQA. The City of Fontana’s Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and Level of Service Assessment (June 2020) provides details on appropriate screening thresholds that can be used to identify when a proposed land use project is anticipated to result in a less than significant impact without conducting a more detailed level analysis. Screening thresholds are broken down into the following four steps: 1. Projects in a Transit Priority Area (TPA) 2. Low VMT Area 3. Low Project Type 4. Project Net Daily Trip Less Than 500 ADT kimley-horn.com 1100 Town and Country Road,Suite 700,Orange,CA 92868 714 939 1030 Mr.Khodr,October 1, 2021,Page 5 Land development projects that meet one or more of the above screening thresholds may be presumed to create a less than significant impact on transportation and circulation. Projects in a Transit Priority Area (TPA) In accordance the City of Fontana’s Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and Level of Service Assessment (June 2020), projects located within half mile from an existing major transit stop or within half of a mile from an existing stop along a high-quality transit corridor can be screened out. Based on San Bernardino County Transportation Authority (SBCTA) VMT Screening Tool, the project is not located in a Transit Priority Area (TPA). The TPA screening criteria is not met. Low VMT Area Residential and office projects located within a low VMT - generating area may be presumed to have a less than significant impact absent substantial evidence to the contrary. In addition, other employment related, and mixed-use land use projects may qualify for the use of screening if the project can reasonably be expected to generate VMT per resident, per worker, or per service population that is similar to the existing land uses in the low VMT area. Based on the traffic analysis zone (“TAZ”) that the project is in and the San Bernardino County Traffic Analysis Model (SBTAM) travel forecast model, the low VMT area screening criteria is not met. Low Project Type The City presumes various usages, assumed to be local serving in nature, as having less than significant impact absent of substantial evidence to the contrary. The low VMT project type screening is not met for this project. Project Net Daily Trips Less Than 500 ADT: The City presumes that projects that generate fewer than 500 average daily trips (ADT) would not cause a substantial increase in the total citywide or regional VMT and would therefore have a less than significant impact on VMT. Based on the trip generation noted earlier, the project is expected to generate more than 500 average net new daily trips. Therefore, the less than 500 ADT screening criteria is not met for the project. FINDINGS AND CONCLUSIONS Based on review of the City’s guidelines, the project is expected to generate less than 50 peak hour trips; therefore, a Level of Service analysis is not required. Per the City’s VMT guidelines the project is not screened out from a VMT analysis.