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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAppendix L - Trip Generation and Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Screening Analysis Urban Planning ■ Due Diligence ■ Entitlements ■ CEQA/NEPA ■ Development Services ■ Management ■ Public Outreach 2355 Main Street, Suite 100 ■ Irvine, Calif. 92614 949.794.1180 ■ info@epdsolutions.com Date: May 23, 2022 Prepared by: Meghan Macias, TE To: City of Fontana Engineering Department Site: Santa Ana & Live Oak Subject: Trip Generation and Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) Screening Analysis This technical memorandum evaluates the change in trip generation and need to prepare a level of service (LOS) or vehicle miles traveled (VMT) analysis for the proposed Santa Ana & Live Oak Warehouse Project. The project is located northeast of the intersection of Live Oak Avenue and Santa Ana Avenue within the southern portion of the City of Fontana within the County of San Bernardino. The site consists of three parcels (0235-141-20, -05, and -06) located on 13.799 net acres. Regional access to the Project site is provided by Interstate 10 (I-10) off the Cherry Avenue exit. State Route 60 (SR-60) off the Country Village Road exit, and Interstate 15 (I-15) off the E Jurupa Street exit. The project location is shown in Figure 1, while the site and surrounding area is pictured in Figure 2. This memo will evaluate the project using the City of Fontana Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines (October 21, 2020). The Project site is currently a dirt lot used for truck storage that is used by the trucking company Tiger Group Transport, Inc. The lot contains various storage structures and is fenced with a chain-link fence. The project would demolish the existing structures on the project site and construct a 319,956 SF high-cube warehouse. The project is consistent with the existing General Plan designation of General Industrial and the SWIP designation of SCD which allows for light and heavy manufacturing activities that are supported by trucking routes and the existing rail spur. The project site plan is shown in Figure 3. Project Trip Generation Comparison to Existing Specific Plan The Maximum FAR in the SWIP for industrial uses is 0.8, therefore the site under the SWIP was analyzed at 480,868 sf. The previous SWIP was analyzed using Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual 8th Edition. To make an appropriate comparison, Table 1: Approved SWIP Trip Generation shows the site analyzed as a 480,868 sf warehouse using the previous ITE 8th edition trip rates and the current ITE 11th edition trip rates, and Table 2: Proposed Project Trip Generation shows the proposed warehouse using the previous ITE 8th edition and the current ITE 11th edition trip rates. It should be noted that the project is more than 200,000 square feet and therefore the rates for High-Cube Transload and Short-Term Storage Warehouse would apply. However, rates for High Cube Transload and Short-Term Storage Warehouse were not used in the SWIP traffic analysis, therefore, to provide a comparative analysis, this trip generation evaluation will evaluate the project as “Warehouse”. Table 3 provides a comparison of the project trip generation to the previously analyzed project. As shown in Table 3, the proposed project would generate fewer trips on this site than the previously approved SWIP using both the 8th and 11th edition Warehouse rates, therefore no new impacts would occur that were not disclosed in the previous analysis. It should be noted that the project will pay all applicable traffic impact fees, which would be used to fund the local and regional transportation system. These fees are intended to mitigate the cumulative traffic effects of land development projects. Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 2 | P a g e Project Trip Generation Based on Existing Site Uses A trip generation analysis comparing the proposed project’s trip generation to the existing site uses was also analyzed. Site surveys were conducted at the project driveway on Live Oak Avenue on March 15-16, 2022, to determine the existing site trip generation. As shown in Table 4, the existing site currently generates 1,426 daily PCE trips, 54 PCE trips during the AM peak hour, and 101 PCE trips during the PM peak hour. This would result in a net trip generation of -619 daily PCE trips, 27 PCE trips during the AM peak hour, and - 16 PCE trips during the PM peak hour. The proposed project would generate fewer daily and PM peak hour PCE trips than the existing use, but more PCE trips during the AM peak hours. VMT Screening Analysis Senate Bill (SB) 743 was signed by Governor Brown in 2013 and required the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research (OPR) to amend the CEQA Guidelines to provide an alternative to LOS for evaluating Transportation impacts. SB743 specified that the new criteria should promote the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, the development of multimodal transportation networks and a diversity of land uses. The bill also specified that delay-based level of service could no longer be considered an indicator of a significant impact on the environment. In response, Section 15064.3 was added to the CEQA Guidelines beginning January 1, 2019. Section 15064.3 - Determining the Significance of Transportation Impacts states that Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) is the most appropriate measure of transportation impacts and provides lead agencies with the discretion to choose the most appropriate methodology and thresholds for evaluating VMT. City of Fontana VMT Screening Section 12.2 of the City’s Traffic Impact Analysis Guidelines provides VMT screening thresholds to identify projects that would be considered to have a less-than significant impact on VMT and therefore could be screened out from further analysis. If a project meets one of the following criteria, then the VMT impact of the project would be considered less-than significant and no further analysis of VMT would be required: 1. The project is located within a Transit Priority Area (TPA). 2. The project is located in a low VMT generating area. 3. The project is considered a local-serving land use. 4. The project net daily trips are less than 500 ADT. The applicability of each criterion to the project is discussed below. Screening Criteria 1 - Transit Priority Area Screening: According to the City’s guidelines, projects located in a TPA may be presumed to have a less than significant impact. The project is not located in a TPA, therefore the project would not satisfy the requirements of Screening Criteria 1 – TPA screening. Screening Criteria 2 - Low VMT Area Screening: The City’s guidelines include a screening threshold for projects located in a low VMT generating area. Low VMT generating area is defined as traffic analysis zones (TAZs) with a total daily VMT/Service Population (employment plus population) that is 15% less than the baseline level for the County. The project’s site was evaluated using the SBCTA VMT Screening Tool (SBCTA VMT Screening Tool (arcgis.com)). As shown in Figure 3, the Countywide VMT/Service Population is 33.3 and the VMT/Service Population for the project zone is 85.9. The VMT/Service Population of the project zone is above the County average. Therefore, the project would not meet Screening Criteria 2 – Low-VMT Area Screening. Screening Criteria 3 – Low Project Type: According to the City’s guidelines, projects which propose local serving retail (retail projects less than 50,000 square feet) or other local serving uses would have a less than significant impact on VMT. The types of projects considered local serving include supermarkets, hair/nail salon, walk-in medical clinics/urgent care, K-12 schools, day care centers, and community institutions such as libraries, fire stations, etc. The project does not propose a local serving land use and therefore would not satisfy the requirements of screening criteria 3. Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 3 | P a g e Screening Criteria 4 – Net Daily Trips less than 500 ADT: According to the City’s guidelines, projects which would generate fewer than 500 average daily trips (ADT) would not cause a substantial increase in the total citywide or regional VMT. As shown in Table 3, the project would generate 845 fewer trips than the SWIP, using the previously approved ITE 8th Edition trip rates or 406 fewer trips than the SWIP using the ITE 11th Edition trip rates. A shown in Table 4, the project would generate 619 fewer ADT than the existing truck/trailer storage lot currently operating on the project site. Because the project would generate an increase of less than 500 ADT when compared to either the previously analyzed and approved land use or the existing land use, it is presumed to have a less than significant impact on VMT and further analysis would not be required. Summary As shown in Tables 1, 2, and 3 the project is forecast to generate fewer daily, AM peak hour, and PM peak hour PCE trips when compared to the previously analyzed land use in the SWIP. Table 3 demonstrates that the proposed project would generate fewer daily and PM peak hour trips when compared to the existing land use, and 27 more trips during the peak hour. The project was evaluated using the City of Fontana VMT screening thresholds to determine if the project would require a vehicle miles traveled (VMT) analysis. The project would generate an increase of less than 500 ADT when compared to the previously analyzed and approved land use. Therefore, the project VMT impacts would be considered less than significant and further analysis of VMT would not be required. If you have any questions about this information, please contact me at (949) 794-1186 or meghan@epdsolutions.com. Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 4 | P a g e Figure 1: Project Location Source: HPA Architecture Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 5 | P a g e Figure 2: Project Vicinity Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 6 | P a g e Figure 3: Project Site Plan Source: HPA Architecture Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 7 | P a g e Table 1: Approved SWIP Trip Generation Land Use Units Daily In Out Total In Out Total Trip Rates Warehousing (ITE 8th Edition)1 TSF 3.56 0.24 0.06 0.30 0.08 0.24 0.32 Warehousing (ITE 11th Edition)2 TSF 1.71 0.13 0.04 0.17 0.05 0.13 0.18 Previous Site Trip Generation using ITE 8th Edition Rates Warehouse1 480.868 TSF 1712 115 29 144 38 115 154 Vehicle Mix3 Percent Passenger Vehicles 72.50%1241 84 21 105 28 84 112 2-Axle Trucks 4.60%79 5 1 7 2 5 7 3-Axle Trucks 5.70%98 7 2 8 2 7 9 4+-Axle Trucks 17.20%294 20 5 25 7 20 26 100%1712 115 29 144 38 115 154 PCE Trip Generation 4 PCE Factor Passenger Vehicles 1.0 1241 84 21 105 28 84 112 2-Axle Trucks 2.0 157 11 3 13 4 11 14 3-Axle Trucks 2.5 244 16 4 21 5 16 22 4+-Axle Trucks 3.0 883 60 15 74 20 60 79 Total PCE Trip Generation 2526 170 43 213 57 170 227 Previous Site Trip Generation using ITE 11th Edition Rates Warehouse2 480.868 TSF 822 63 19 82 24 62 87 Vehicle Mix3 Percent Passenger Vehicles 72.50%596 46 14 59 18 45 63 2-Axle Trucks 4.60%38 3 1 4 1 3 4 3-Axle Trucks 5.70%47 4 1 5 1 4 5 4+-Axle Trucks 17.20%141 11 3 14 4 11 15 100%822 63 19 82 24 62 87 PCE Trip Generation 4 PCE Factor Passenger Vehicles 1.0 596 46 14 59 18 45 63 2-Axle Trucks 2.0 76 6 2 8 2 6 8 3-Axle Trucks 2.5 117 9 3 12 3 9 12 4+-Axle Trucks 3.0 424 32 10 42 13 32 45 Total PCE Trip Generation 1213 93 28 121 36 92 128 Total Net PCE Trip Generation -1313 -77 -15 -92 -21 -78 -99 TSF = Thousand Square Feet PCE = Passenger Car Equivalent 4 Passenger Car Equivalent (PCE) factors from San Bernardino County CMP, Appendix B - Guidelines for CMP Traffic Impact Analysis Reports in San Bernardino County, 2016 AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour 1Trip rates from the Institute of Transporation Engineers, Trip Generation, 8th Edition, 2008. 2Trip rates from the Institute of Transportation Engineers, Trip Generation,11th Edition, 2021. Land Use Code 150 - Warehousing. 3 Vehicle Mix from the SCAQMD Warehouse Truck Trip Study Data Results and Usage (2014). Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 8 | P a g e Table 2: Proposed Project Trip Generation Land Use Units Daily In Out Total In Out Total Trip Rates Warehousing (ITE 8th Edition)1 TSF 3.56 0.24 0.06 0.30 0.08 0.24 0.32 Warehousing (ITE 11th Edition)2 TSF 1.71 0.13 0.04 0.17 0.05 0.13 0.18 Project Trip Generation using ITE 8th Edition Rates Warehouse1 319.956 TSF 1139 77 19 96 26 77 102 Vehicle Mix3 Percent Passenger Vehicles 72.50%826 56 14 70 19 56 74 2-Axle Trucks 4.60%52 4 1 4 1 4 5 3-Axle Trucks 5.70%65 4 1 5 1 4 6 4+-Axle Trucks 17.20%196 13 3 17 4 13 18 100%1139 77 19 96 26 77 102 PCE Trip Generation 4 PCE Factor Passenger Vehicles 1.0 826 56 14 70 19 56 74 2-Axle Trucks 2.0 105 7 2 9 2 7 9 3-Axle Trucks 2.5 162 11 3 14 4 11 15 4+-Axle Trucks 3.0 588 40 10 50 13 40 53 Total PCE Trip Generation 1681 113 28 142 38 113 151 Project Trip Generation using ITE 11th Edition Rates Warehouse2 319.956 TSF 547 42 13 54 16 41 58 Vehicle Mix3 Percent Passenger Vehicles 72.50%397 30 9 39 12 30 42 2-Axle Trucks 4.60%25 2 1 3 1 2 3 3-Axle Trucks 5.70%31 2 1 3 1 2 3 4+-Axle Trucks 17.20%94 7 2 9 3 7 10 100%547 42 13 54 16 41 58 PCE Trip Generation 4 PCE Factor Passenger Vehicles 1.0 397 30 9 39 12 30 42 2-Axle Trucks 2.0 50 4 1 5 1 4 5 3-Axle Trucks 2.5 78 6 2 8 2 6 8 4+-Axle Trucks 3.0 282 22 6 28 8 21 30 Total PCE Trip Generation 807 62 18 80 24 61 85 Total Net PCE Trip Generation -873 -52 -10 -61 -14 -52 -66 TSF = Thousand Square Feet PCE = Passenger Car Equivalent 4 Passenger Car Equivalent (PCE) factors from San Bernardino County CMP, Appendix B - Guidelines for CMP Traffic Impact Analysis Reports in San Bernardino County, 2016 1Trip rates from the Institute of Transportation Engineers, Trip Generation, 8th Edition, 2008. AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour 2Trip rates from the Institute of Transportation Engineers, Trip Generation,11th Edition, 2021. Land Use Code 150 - Warehousing. 3 Vehicle Mix from the SCAQMD Warehouse Truck Trip Study Data Results and Usage (2014). Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 9 | P a g e Table 3. Comparison of Previously Analyzed and Proposed Project Trips Land Use Units Daily In Out Total In Out Total ITE 8th Edition Previously Analyzed Project 480.868 TSF 2526 170 43 213 57 170 227 Proposed Project 319.956 TSF 1681 113 28 142 38 113 151 Net Project Trips -845 -57 -14 -71 -19 -57 -76 ITE 11th Edition Previously Analyzed Project 480.868 TSF 1213 93 28 121 36 92 128 Proposed Project 319.956 TSF 807 62 18 80 24 61 85 Net Project Trips -406 -31 -9 -40 -12 -31 -43 AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 10 | P a g e Table 4. Proposed Project Compared to Existing Site Uses Land Use Units Daily In Out Total In Out Total Trip Rates Existing Truck Trailer Storage (From Site Surveys)1 Acres 54.06 1.09 0.94 2.03 1.81 1.74 3.55 Warehousing (ITE 11th Edition)2 TSF 1.71 0.13 0.04 0.17 0.05 0.13 0.18 Existing Site Trip Generation based on Survey Data Truck/Trailer Storage 13.8 Acres 746 15 13 28 25 24 49 Vehicle Mix3 Percent Passenger Vehicles 307 6 4 10 4 12 16 2-Axle Trucks 140 7 1 8 5 5 10 3-Axle Trucks 116 1 4 5 6 2 8 4+-Axle Trucks 183 1 4 5 10 5 15 746 15 13 28 25 24 49 PCE Trip Generation4 PCE Factor Passenger Vehicles 1.0 307 6 4 10 4 12 16 2-Axle Trucks 2.0 280 14 2 16 10 10 20 3-Axle Trucks 2.5 290 3 10 13 15 5 20 4+-Axle Trucks 3.0 549 3 12 15 30 15 45 Total PCE Trip Generation 1426 26 28 54 59 42 101 Proposed Project Site using ITE 11th Edition Rates Warehouse2 319.956 TSF 547 42 13 54 16 41 58 Vehicle Mix3 Percent Passenger Vehicles 72.50%397 30 9 39 12 30 42 2-Axle Trucks 4.60%25 2 1 3 1 2 3 3-Axle Trucks 5.70%31 2 1 3 1 2 3 4+-Axle Trucks 17.20%94 7 2 9 3 7 10 100%547 42 13 54 16 41 58 PCE Trip Generation4 PCE Factor Passenger Vehicles 1.0 397 30 9 39 12 30 42 2-Axle Trucks 2.0 50 4 1 5 1 4 5 3-Axle Trucks 2.5 78 6 2 8 2 6 8 4+-Axle Trucks 3.0 282 22 6 28 8 21 30 Total PCE Trip Generation 807 62 18 80 24 61 85 Total Net PCE Trip Generation -619 36 -10 27 -35 19 -16 TSF = Thousand Square Feet PCE = Passenger Car Equivalent 4 Passenger Car Equivalent (PCE) factors from San Bernardino County CMP, Appendix B - Guidelines for CMP Traffic Impact Analysis Reports in San Bernardino County, 2016 AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour 1Existing site surveys collected March 15 and 16, 2022. 2Trip rates from the Institute of Transportation Engineers, Trip Generation,11th Edition, 2021. Land Use Code 150 - Warehousing. 3 Vehicle Mix from the SCAQMD Warehouse Truck Trip Study Data Results and Usage (2014). Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 11 | P a g e Figure 4: Low VMT Area Screening Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 12 | P a g e Santa Ana Avenue and Live Oak Avenue Warehouse Project Trip Generation and VMT Screening Analysis 13 | P a g e