Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutAppendix D3 - Trip Generation Assessment 13764-07 TG Letter REV November 9, 2021 Charlie McPhee, Steve Hollis, & Brandon Dickens IDI Logistics 840 Apollo Street, Suite 100 El Segundo, CA 90245 SUBJECT: WEST VALLEY LOGISTICS CENTER TRIP GENERATION ASSESSMENT Dear Charlie McPhee, Steve Hollis, & Brandon Dickens: Urban Crossroads, Inc. is pleased to provide the following Trip Generation Assessment for West Valley Logistics Center development (Project) which is located south of Jurupa Avenue and on either side of Locust Avenue/Armstrong Road in the City of Fontana. The purpose of this work effort is to determine whether additional traffic analysis is necessary for the proposed Project based on the City of Fontana Traffic Engineering Division’s Traffic Impact Analysis (TIA) Guidelines for Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) and Level of Service Assessment (October 21, 2020) (City’s Guidelines). This Trip Generation Assessment, along with the West Valley Logistics Center Due Diligence Traffic Assessment (revised September 14, 2021, prepared by Urban Crossroads, Inc., referred to hereafter as the 2021 Due Diligence), have been prepared to satisfy Condition of Approval 11 found in City Council Resolution No. 2019-041. This Condition of Approval requires an analysis of impacts generated by the Project, assuming that the Project is considered to be a Fulfillment Center. PREVIOUS TRIP GENERATION A revised due diligence traffic assessment was prepared in September 2021 (2021 Due Diligence) to determine if there are additional traffic deficiencies and improvement needs, based upon a conservative assumption that all 3,473,690 square feet of the Project is developed with High-Cube Fulfillment Center (Non-Sort) Warehouse use (2021 Project) based on the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) trip generation rates for Land Use Code 155. The due diligence assessment compared the findings with the West Valley Logistics Center Traffic Impact Analysis (July 20, 2018, prepared by Urban Crossroads, Inc., referred to hereafter as the 2018 Traffic Study). The 2018 Traffic Study evaluated impacts for a project consisting of 290,590 square feet of Warehousing use and 3,183,100 square feet of High-Cube Transload and Short-Term Storage Warehouse use (Original Project). Table 1 shows the trip generation evaluated in the 2021 Due Diligence as the 2021 Project trip generation was higher than that of the Original Project evaluated in the 2018 Traffic Study. Table 1 shows the 2021 Project evaluated in the 2021 Due Diligence would generate 1,330 more two-way trips per day, with 219 more AM peak hour trips and 182 more PM peak hour trips. It should be noted that the trip generation evaluated in the 2021 Due Diligence was based on the ITE Trip Generation Manual (10th Edition, 2017). Charlie McPhee, Steve Hollis, & Brandon Dickens IDI Logistics November 9, 2021 Page 2 of 5 13764-07 TG Letter REV TABLE 1: 2018 TRAFFIC STUDY VS. 2021 DUE DILIGENCE TRIP GENERATION COMPARISON In Out Total In Out Total Daily Trip Generation Comparison (Actual Vehicles): 2018 Traffic Study1 Passenger Cars: 166 50 215 82 211 293 3,426 Truck Trips:68 19 87 22 57 80 1,536 Total from 2018 Traffic Study 234 69 303 104 269 373 4,962 2021 Due Diligence2 Passenger Cars: 384 90 474 202 315 517 5,628 Truck Trips:38 9 47 15 24 39 664 Total from 2021 Due Diligence 422 99 521 217 339 556 6,292 Passenger Car Variance 3 218 41 259 120 104 224 2,202 Truck Variance3 -30 -10 -40 -7 -34 -41 -872 Total Variance (Actual Vehicles)3 188 30 219 113 70 182 1,330 Trip Generation Comparison (PCE): 2018 Traffic Study1 Passenger Cars: 166 50 215 82 211 293 3,426 Truck Trips:186 55 241 62 158 220 4,193 Total from 2018 Traffic Study 351 105 456 144 369 513 7,619 2021 Due Diligence2 Passenger Cars: 384 90 474 202 315 517 5,628 Truck Trips:104 24 128 41 65 106 1,804 Total from 2021 Due Diligence 488 114 602 243 380 623 7,432 Passenger Car Variance 3 218 41 259 120 104 224 2,202 Truck Variance3 -82 -31 -113 -20 -93 -113 -2,389 Total Variance (PCE)3 136 10 146 99 11 110 -187 1 Trip Generation Source: West Valley Logistics Center Traffic Impact Analysis (July 20, 2018, prepared by Urban Crossroads, Inc.). 2 Trip Generation Source: West Valley Logistics Center Due Diligence Traffic Assessment (September 14, 2021, prepared by Urban Crossroads, Inc 3 Variance is the difference between the 2021 Due Diligence Assessment trip generation and the 2018 Traffic Study trip generation. Trip Generation Comparison AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Charlie McPhee, Steve Hollis, & Brandon Dickens IDI Logistics November 9, 2021 Page 3 of 5 13764-07 TG Letter REV PROPOSED 2021 PROJECT TRIP GENERATION The proposed 2021 Project site plan reflects a total of 3,439,197 square feet between 6 buildings (2021 Project). The trip generation rates shown on Table 2 and used for this analysis are based upon information collected by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) as provided in their latest 11th Edition Trip Generation Manual (2021) for High-Cube Fulfillment Center (Non-Sort) Warehouse use (ITE Land Use Code 155), which was published in September 2021. The following ITE land use code and vehicle mix were utilized for the 2021 Project: • ITE land use code 155 (High-Cube Fulfillment Center (Non-Sort) Warehouse) has been used to derive site specific trip generation estimates for up to 3,439,197 square feet of the proposed Project. The truck percentage was also obtained from the latest ITE Trip Generation Manual (2021). Trip generation for heavy trucks was further broken down by truck type (or axle type). The total truck percentage is comprised of 3 different truck types: 2-axle, 3-axle, and 4+-axle trucks. For the purposes of this trip evaluation, the percentage of trucks, by axle type, were obtained from the South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) Warehouse Truck Trip Study Data Results and Usage (2014) recommended truck mix. The SCAQMD performed surveys of operational facilities and compiled the data to provide guidance on the mix of heavy trucks for these types of high-cube warehousing/distribution facilities. Based on this guidance, the following truck fleet mix was utilized for the purposes of estimating the truck trip generation for the site (without cold storage): 16.7% of the total trucks as 2-axle trucks, 20.7% of the total trucks as 3-axle trucks, and 62.6% of the total trucks as 4+-axle trucks. TABLE 2: TRIP GENERATION RATES ITE LU AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Land Use1 Units2 Code In Out Total In Out Total Actual Vehicle Trip Generation Rates: High-Cube Fulfillment Center (Non-Sort)3 TSF 155 0.122 0.028 0.150 0.062 0.098 0.160 1.810 Passenger Cars 0.105 0.025 0.130 0.059 0.091 0.150 1.580 2-Axle Trucks 0.002 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.038 3-Axle Trucks 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.048 4+-Axle Trucks 0.006 0.007 0.013 0.003 0.003 0.006 0.144 Passenger Car Equivalent (PCE) Trip Generation Rates4 High-Cube Fulfillment Center (Non-Sort)3 TSF 155 0.122 0.028 0.150 0.062 0.098 0.160 1.810 Passenger Cars 0.105 0.025 0.130 0.059 0.091 0.150 1.580 2-Axle Trucks (PCE = 2.0)0.004 0.003 0.007 0.002 0.001 0.003 0.077 3-Axle Trucks (PCE = 2.5)0.005 0.005 0.010 0.003 0.003 0.005 0.119 4+-Axle Trucks (PCE = 3.0)0.018 0.020 0.038 0.009 0.010 0.019 0.432 1 Trip Generation & Vehicle Mix Source: Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE), Trip Generation Manual, Eleventh Edition (2021). 2 TSF = thousand square feet 3 Truck Mix: South Coast Air Quality Management District’s (SCAQMD) recommended truck mix, by axle type. Normalized % - Without Cold Storage: 16.7% 2-Axle trucks, 20.7% 3-Axle trucks, 62.6% 4-Axle trucks. 4 PCE factors per the City of Fontana Traffic Impact Analysis Guidelines (June 2020): 2-axle = 2.0; 3-axle = 2.5; 4+-axle = 3.0. Daily Charlie McPhee, Steve Hollis, & Brandon Dickens IDI Logistics November 9, 2021 Page 4 of 5 13764-07 TG Letter REV The resulting trip generation for the 2021 Project is shown on Table 3. As shown on Table 3, the 2021 Project is anticipated to generate 6,228 two-way trips per day, with 516 trips generated during the AM peak hour and 550 trips generated during the PM peak hour. TABLE 3: 2021 PROJECT TRIP GENERATION SUMMARY The City’s Guidelines require that truck intensive uses translate heavy truck trips to passenger car equivalents (PCE). As shown on Table 3, the 2021 Project is anticipated to generate 7,596 two-way PCE trips per day, with 635 PCE AM peak hour trips and 610 PCE PM peak hour trips. NET NEW TRIP GENERATION The trip generation comparison shown on Table 4 shows that the 2021 Project is anticipated to generate a total of 78 fewer two-way PCE trips with 6 fewer PCE AM peak hour trips and 6 fewer PCE PM peak hour trips as compared to the trip generation evaluated in the 2021 Due Diligence for the 2021 Project. Land Use Quantity Units1 In Out Total In Out Total Daily Actual Vehicles: High-Cube Fulfillment Center (Non-Sort)3,439.197 TSF Passenger Cars: 361 86 447 203 313 516 5,434 2-axle Trucks 7 5 11 3 2 6 134 3-axle Trucks 7 7 14 3 4 7 164 4+-axle Trucks 21 22 43 10 11 22 496 Total Trucks:34 34 69 17 17 34 794 Total Trips (Actual Vehicles)2 396 120 516 220 330 550 6,228 PCE: High-Cube Fulfillment Center (Non-Sort)3,439.197 TSF Passenger Cars: 361 86 447 203 313 516 5,434 2-axle Trucks 14 9 23 7 5 11 266 3-axle Trucks 17 18 36 9 9 18 410 4+-axle Trucks 62 67 129 31 34 65 1,486 Total Trucks (PCE):93 95 188 46 47 94 2,162 Total Trips (PCE)2 454 181 635 249 360 610 7,596 1 TSF = thousand square feet 2 Total Trips = Passenger Cars + Truck Trips AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Charlie McPhee, Steve Hollis, & Brandon Dickens IDI Logistics November 9, 2021 Page 5 of 5 13764-07 TG Letter REV TABLE 4: TRIP GENERATION COMPARISON FINDINGS The 2021 Project is anticipated to generate fewer trips that those evaluated as part of the Project analyzed in the 2021 Due Diligence. As such, additional level of service (LOS) based traffic analysis beyond that included in the 2021 Due Diligence is not required as the net reduction in trips would result in similar or reduced deficiencies. If you have any questions, please contact me directly at (949) 861- 0177. Respectfully submitted, URBAN CROSSROADS, INC. Charlene So, PE Associate Principal In Out Total In Out Total Daily Trip Generation Comparison (Actual Vehicles) 2021 Due Diligence1 Passenger Cars: 365 87 452 205 316 521 5,490 Truck Trips:35 35 69 17 17 35 802 Total from 2021 Due Diligence 399 122 521 222 333 556 6,292 Passenger Car Variance 2 -4 -1 -4 -2 -3 -5 -56 Truck Variance2 0 0 -1 0 0 0 -8 Total Variance2 -4 -1 -5 -2 -3 -6 -64 Trip Generation Comparison (PCE) 2021 Due Diligence1 Passenger Cars: 365 87 452 205 316 521 5,490 Truck Trips:94 96 190 47 48 95 2,184 Total from 2021 Due Diligence 459 183 641 252 364 616 7,674 Passenger Car Variance 2 -4 -1 -4 -2 -3 -5 -56 Truck Variance2 -1 -1 -2 0 0 -1 -22 Total Variance2 -5 -2 -6 -3 -4 -6 -78 1 Trip Generation Source: West Valley Logistics Center Due Diligence Traffic Assessment (September 14, 2021). 2 Variance is the difference between the proposed Project trip generation and the 2021 Due Diligence trip generation. Trip Generation Comparison AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour 13764-07 TG Letter REV EXHIBIT 1: PRELIMINARY SITE PLAN